bitcoinmafia

Weather 100% +$2,820 $4,180 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Big Bash League: Sydney Sixers vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game Semi Finals)	Sydney Sixers	82¢	100¢	+$180	win
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1)	Hobart Hurricanes	56¢	100¢	+$1,740	win
Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game 1)	Melbourne Stars	55¢	100¢	+$900	win

Finance 70% +$2,009 $9,264 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	54¢	54¢	$-4	loss
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	No	43¢	56¢	+$104	win
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?	No	64¢	68¢	+$2	win
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	No	90¢	47¢	$-34	loss
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit 5350 (LOW) in March?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in March 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,900 on the final trading day of March 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?	No	56¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?	Yes	52¢	0¢	$-125	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?	Down	63¢	0¢	$-315	loss

Economy 100% +$240 $1,580 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$240	win

Elections 100% +$60 $980 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	49¢	52¢	+$60	win

Culture 33% $-358 $1,660 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-396	loss
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?	No	30¢	0¢	$-600	loss
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?	No	23¢	0¢	+$638	win

Esports 56% $-2,032 $20,132 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FriendlyCampers (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Inner Circle Esports	56¢	0¢	$-560	loss
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup 1 Playoffs	M80	81¢	100¢	+$48	win
Dota 2: Veroja vs Ivory (BO3)	Ivory	54¢	0¢	$-540	loss
Counter-Strike: WATERMELON vs 33 - Map 1 Winner	WATERMELON	95¢	100¢	$-4,250	loss
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)	Vitality	77¢	100¢	+$2,530	win
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)	Team Falcons	73¢	100¢	+$580	win
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)	Natus Vincere	72¢	100¢	+$420	win
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)	Passion UA	31¢	0¢	$-310	loss

Other 59% $-2,920 $674,278 vol · 464 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Katana FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Espresso FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	98¢	100¢	+$14	win
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	53¢	0¢	$-335	loss
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	99¢	100¢	+$18	win
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	29¢	0¢	$-291	loss
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	69¢	100¢	+$915	win
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	58¢	0¢	$-486	loss
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	59¢	100¢	+$700	win
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?	No	51¢	88¢	+$301	win
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	80¢	100¢	+$100	win

Tech 76% $-3,250 $10,068 vol · 29 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at >$230 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Google reach $320 in March?	No	59¢	100¢	+$410	win
Will Tesla reach $450 in March?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Amazon reach $216 in March?	No	18¢	0¢	$-72	loss
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 end of March?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $495 end of March?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $220 end of March?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March?	No	53¢	0¢	$-200	loss
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 23 above $670?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Meta (META) close above $600 on March 26?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Crypto 51% $-3,772 $289,984 vol · 504 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	49¢	0¢	$-4,900	loss
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	54¢	100¢	+$460	win
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	66¢	23¢	$-1,720	loss
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	59¢	56¢	$-38	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?	No	29¢	0¢	$-580	loss
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 April 6-12?	No	27¢	0¢	$-540	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5?	No	97¢	100¢	+$27	win

Geopolitics 57% $-4,070 $9,362 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	71¢	76¢	+$55	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	No	42¢	0¢	$-1,670	loss
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?	Yes	48¢	100¢	+$156	win
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5	Under	71¢	100¢	+$58	win
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-07?	Yes	57¢	100¢	+$215	win
SA20: Joburg Super Kings vs Paarl Royals (Game Eliminator)	Paarl Royals	97¢	100¢	+$14	win
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Stars (Game Eliminator)	Melbourne Stars	47¢	0¢	$-1,880	loss
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-24?	Yes	41¢	100¢	+$295	win
Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?	No	58¢	100¢	+$237	win

Politics 0% $-5,200 $5,200 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	45¢	0¢	$-900	loss
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	43¢	0¢	$-4,300	loss

Sports 70% $-34,201 $184,491 vol · 107 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	46¢	42¢	$-35	loss
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 30 above $140?	No	99¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 30 above $50?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier B: Seychelles vs Tanzania - Who wins the toss?	Tanzania	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier B: Ghana vs Saint Helena	Ghana	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier B: Malawi vs Eswatini	Malawi	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Devils vs. Predators	Predators	51¢	0¢	$-510	loss
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	52¢	100¢	+$480	win
National Cricket League, Women: South Australian Scorpions vs New South Wales Breakers	New South Wales Breakers	31¢	100¢	+$595	win
National Cricket League, Women: Queensland Fire vs Victoria	Queensland Fire	83¢	100¢	+$128	win