Win rate
73.7%
14 W / 5 L
Total PnL
$-35
realized $-584 · unrealized $549
Portfolio
$549
volume $1,999
Predictions
100
2.1/day · avg $20
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 14/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 83% +$27
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | No | 63¢ | 63¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting? | Yes | 51¢ | 49¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 60¢ | 62¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will one person dissent the April Fed decision? | Yes | 73¢ | 72¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will three people dissent the April Fed decision? | No | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will San Francisco 49ers draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 18? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | Yes | 61¢ | 83¢ | +$13 | win |
Politics 75% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump attend UFC 327? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Melissa Bean be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Kina Collins be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Melissa Conyears Ervin be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07? | Yes | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
Sports 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rueben Bain Jr. be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | No | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$2 | win |
Tech 0% $-25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jensen Huang say "Anthropic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote? | No | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Economy 0% $-34
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 64¢ | 8¢ | $-34 | loss |
Recent Trades (19)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 18? | Yes | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Trump attend UFC 327? | Yes | 65.6¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $46 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | Yes | 60.5¢ | 83¢ | +$13 | $34 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will three people dissent the March Fed decision? | No | 88.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $21 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Melissa Bean be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08? | Yes | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $27 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Kina Collins be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Melissa Conyears Ervin be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07? | Yes | 60.8¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Jensen Huang say "Anthropic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote? | No | 70.2¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will Rueben Bain Jr. be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | No | 95.0¢ | 98¢ | +$2 | $57 | 23/04/2026 |
| Will San Francisco 49ers draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft? | No | 98.0¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $28 | 26/04/2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 64.0¢ | 8¢ | $-34 | $38 | 28/04/2026 |
| Will one person dissent the April Fed decision? | Yes | 73.5¢ | 72¢ | $-0 | $35 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will no one dissent the April Fed decision? | No | 96.0¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | $34 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will three people dissent the April Fed decision? | No | 93.0¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | $23 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 62¢ | +$1 | $30 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 87.6¢ | 98¢ | +$3 | $26 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026? | No | 83.8¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $44 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting? | Yes | 51.2¢ | 49¢ | $-1 | $26 | 07/05/2026 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | No | 63.2¢ | 63¢ | +$0 | $63 | 16/05/2026 |