Win rate
100.0%
22 W / 0 L
Total PnL
$11,465
realized $-491,998 · unrealized $503,463
Portfolio
$503,463
volume $4,212,670
Predictions
22
0.6/day · avg $191,485
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 04/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 100% +$6,426
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$946 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1,951 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$300 | win |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$992 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$379 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$358 | win |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | win |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 4? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$300 | win |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$144 | win |
Other 100% +$2,785
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$35 | win |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2,142 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$415 | win |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$191 | win |
Politics 100% +$1,643
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$14 | win |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$926 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$201 | win |
| Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8) | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$400 | win |
| Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1) | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$101 | win |
Economy 100% +$498
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$498 | win |
Elections 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50¢ | 81¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 19¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (24)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $490,519 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$300 | $299,700 | 07/04/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2,142 | $89,858 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$992 | $306,776 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$926 | $174,074 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$415 | $206,898 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$379 | $236,659 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$358 | $102,060 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$201 | $10,904 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | $26,019 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$498 | $99,053 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8) | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$400 | $199,600 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1) | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$101 | $100,899 | 01/03/2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$191 | $190,907 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$920 | $419,079 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 4? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$300 | $299,700 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$144 | $143,599 | 01/01/1970 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$14 | $2,966 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1,951 | $488,394 | 30/04/2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,105 | 14/05/2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98.3¢ | 99¢ | +$35 | $9,830 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$946 | $493,141 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50.0¢ | 81¢ | +$0 | $227,655 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 19¢ | +$0 | $227,655 | 07/11/2028 |