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Crypto 73% +$26 $1,393 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	65¢	100¢	+$124	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	72¢	100¢	+$44	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	66¢	100¢	+$40	win
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	55¢	100¢	+$28	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8PM ET	Up	88¢	100¢	+$25	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	51¢	100¢	+$24	win
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	72¢	100¢	+$16	win
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	86¢	100¢	+$11	win
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 8PM ET	Up	86¢	100¢	+$8	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	77¢	100¢	+$7	win

Weather 100% +$23 $2,563 vol · 60 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on April 15?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on April 15?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C or below on April 15?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 15?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 26°C on April 15?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on April 15?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C or higher on April 15?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on April 15?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C or higher on April 15?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 47°C or higher on April 15?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Finance 50% +$2 $67 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Arxis’s market cap be greater than $13B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Arxis’s market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Elections 33% $-0 $114 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	93¢	93¢	$-0	loss
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Politics 57% $-20 $339 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	61¢	72¢	+$7	win
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	94¢	83¢	$-6	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	No	87¢	60¢	$-16	loss
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?	No	89¢	90¢	+$1	win
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?	No	93¢	94¢	+$1	win

Geopolitics 43% $-54 $646 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	61¢	78¢	+$12	win
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	80¢	71¢	$-3	loss
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$3	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	96¢	96¢	+$0	win
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	90¢	84¢	$-2	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	88¢	90¢	+$1	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	79¢	62¢	$-11	loss
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	Yes	72¢	82¢	+$7	win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	Yes	60¢	8¢	$-28	loss
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	No	94¢	100¢	$-10	loss

Other 41% $-308 $1,156 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	62¢	79¢	+$14	win
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	94¢	95¢	$-1	loss
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	94¢	94¢	+$0	—
Spread: Aalesunds FK (-2.5)	FK Bodø/Glimt	99¢	99¢	+$0	win
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner	Kiwoom DRX	36¢	0¢	$-60	loss
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	Dplus KIA	50¢	100¢	+$123	win
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 17?	Down	89¢	98¢	+$4	win
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	Real Madrid CF	76¢	100¢	+$16	win
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	38¢	0¢	$-31	loss
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner	FlyQuest	49¢	0¢	$-99	loss

Esports 40% $-451 $649 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner	DN SOOPers	26¢	0¢	$-21	loss
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	69¢	0¢	$-500	loss
Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha	TYLOO	54¢	100¢	+$63	win
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner	Eternal Fire	41¢	100¢	+$35	win
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	Dplus KIA	40¢	0¢	$-29	loss

Sports 0% $-1,000 $1,000 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Warriors vs. Clippers	Warriors	50¢	0¢	$-500	loss
Hawks vs. Cavaliers	Hawks	39¢	0¢	$-500	loss