0x4c8eD7EAd1ac18338f816e964B1EDdE8A50eb38F-1765646249727

Mentions 66% +$822 $18,666 vol · 146 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	98¢	99¢	$-49	loss
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	5¢	3¢	$-6	loss
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?	No	63¢	100¢	$-89	loss
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?	Yes	7¢	0¢	+$178	win
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-50	loss
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	Yes	55¢	0¢	+$95	win

Geopolitics 46% +$306 $8,993 vol · 65 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	68¢	0¢	$-73	loss
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	61¢	100¢	$-12	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	32¢	68¢	+$77	win
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	43¢	68¢	+$39	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	43¢	82¢	+$9	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	88¢	100¢	$-30	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	57¢	32¢	$-21	loss
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	65¢	32¢	$-22	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	20¢	0¢	+$15	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	62¢	94¢	+$13	win

Esports 61% +$112 $1,173 vol · 31 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	Team Liquid	55¢	100¢	+$25	win
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	Team Yandex	52¢	100¢	+$27	win
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	Team Spirit	85¢	100¢	+$5	win
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	Aurora	40¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	Tundra Esports	47¢	0¢	$-41	loss
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	Tundra Esports	51¢	100¢	+$28	win
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	PARIVISION	73¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	Team Yandex	58¢	100¢	+$15	win
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	Xtreme Gaming	62¢	100¢	+$37	win
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	BetBoom Team	52¢	0¢	$-45	loss

Crypto 50% +$11 $63 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	51¢	100¢	+$36	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	10¢	0¢	$-25	loss

Politics 67% $-1 $317 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	72¢	92¢	$-20	loss
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	26¢	8¢	+$18	win

Elections 50% $-14 $319 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	67¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	64¢	100¢	$-13	loss

Finance 0% $-45 $45 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?	No	0¢	0¢	$-45	loss

Weather 71% $-66 $7,736 vol · 96 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 18?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$32	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 18?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-47	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 18?	No	31¢	0¢	$-54	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?	No	24¢	100¢	+$63	win
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on April 17?	No	86¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 17?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-55	loss
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 16?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on April 16?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or below on April 15?	No	68¢	100¢	+$14	win

Other 62% $-98 $4,499 vol · 45 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	60¢	26¢	+$3	win
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	83¢	82¢	+$1	win
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Yes	32¢	22¢	$-10	loss
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	97¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	63¢	100¢	$-18	loss
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	62¢	98¢	$-21	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	Yes	83¢	100¢	$-56	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?	No	89¢	100¢	$-100	loss
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei	Yes	32¢	0¢	+$17	win
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei	No	59¢	100¢	+$15	win

Sports 56% $-3,153 $12,810 vol · 125 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Thunder vs. Suns	Suns	19¢	100¢	$-52	loss
Golden Knights vs. Blackhawks	Blackhawks	31¢	100¢	$-68	loss
Grizzlies vs. Lakers	Grizzlies	44¢	0¢	$-188	loss
Bucks vs. Kings	Kings	33¢	0¢	$-222	loss
Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	90¢	0¢	$-3,506	loss
Jazz vs. Warriors	Jazz	19¢	0¢	+$164	win
Rockets vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	26¢	100¢	+$92	win
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Trail Blazers	27¢	100¢	+$86	win
Blackhawks vs. Capitals	Blackhawks	30¢	100¢	+$67	win
Pacers vs. Magic	Pacers	31¢	0¢	+$62	win