cyfrav

Other 71% +$5,440 $123,000 vol · 389 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	44¢	38¢	+$9	win
Kodiak FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-51	loss
Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	28¢	7¢	$-25	loss
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	4¢	100¢	+$540	win
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-115	loss
Trove FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	95¢	100¢	+$0	win
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	32¢	0¢	+$40	win
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	89¢	14¢	$-24	loss
Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	27¢	92¢	+$20	win
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	51¢	100¢	$-11	loss

Finance 80% +$294 $1,110 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	No	86¢	6¢	$-53	loss
Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	11¢	5¢	+$57	win

Sports 71% +$254 $24,800 vol · 90 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0¢	1¢	+$0	—
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox	Toronto Blue Jays	2¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Hurricanes vs. Utah	Utah	20¢	0¢	+$0	—
Devils vs. Red Wings	Red Wings	54¢	0¢	+$0	—
Wild vs. Predators: O/U 5.5	Over	45¢	0¢	$-62	loss
Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 224.5	Under	59¢	100¢	+$4	win
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5	Over	33¢	0¢	+$20	win
Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	39¢	100¢	+$3	win
Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5	Over	94¢	100¢	+$0	win
Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	15¢	0¢	+$0	—

Elections 62% +$47 $656 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Anca Alexandrescu get at least 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?	No	81¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Cătălin Drulă get less than 5% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?	No	84¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	Yes	46¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will Shayne say "Election" 3+ times during 60 Minutes?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$114	win
Will Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	No	89¢	100¢	+$6	win

Esports 100% +$1 $96 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A	Bilibili Gaming	96¢	100¢	+$1	win

Weather 50% $-20 $42 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on March 23?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on March 22?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$1	win

Culture 57% $-106 $563 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 85m?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 109m?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 167m and 177m?	Yes	9¢	0¢	+$0	win

Economy 55% $-144 $1,173 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	2¢	1¢	$-3	loss
Will Bryan Johnson say "Don’t Die" while tripping balls?	No	3¢	0¢	+$6	win
Will Bryan Johnson say "Don’t Die" while tripping balls?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$2	win

Politics 59% $-283 $3,741 vol · 29 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?	Yes	82¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?	No	13¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Will Trump say "Trump Vodka" or "Trump Steak" in April?	Yes	4¢	3¢	$-110	loss
Will Trump say "Trump Turnberry" in April?	No	68¢	62¢	$-3	loss
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 16, 2026?	No	11¢	0¢	$-19	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	11¢	0¢	+$85	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	89¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$37	win
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?	No	9¢	0¢	+$9	win
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$60	win

Crypto 60% $-385 $8,167 vol · 54 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2025?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-17	loss
Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	14¢	65¢	+$24	win
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2025?	Yes	4¢	0¢	+$11	win
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	53¢	16¢	+$11	win
Will Paradex launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Paradex launch a token by December 31 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	43¢	95¢	+$7	win
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2025?	No	92¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Fogo launch a token by December 31 2025?	No	72¢	100¢	$-90	loss
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	86¢	28¢	$-33	loss

Tech 38% $-660 $2,049 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	82¢	100¢	$-23	loss
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	5¢	0¢	$-47	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	No	0¢	0¢	+$63	win
Will FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs. FK Polissia end in a draw?	No	1¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	53¢	100¢	+$94	win
Will Bryan Johnson say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" while tripping balls?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Shayne say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during 60 Minutes?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-74	loss

Geopolitics 60% $-1,604 $80,298 vol · 149 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	2¢	2¢	+$8	win
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	1¢	1¢	+$74	win
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	1¢	0¢	+$81	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	54¢	100¢	$-511	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	3¢	1¢	+$15	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	12¢	28¢	+$0	—
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-2	loss
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?	Yes	21¢	0¢	+$14	win
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-12	loss