olekslie

Sports 56% +$728 $3,724 vol · 53 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	95¢	95¢	$-0	loss
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	2¢	1¢	$-14	loss
Trail Blazers vs. Suns	Suns	59¢	0¢	$-37	loss
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on April 13?	Down	71¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?	No	89¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Spurs	60¢	100¢	+$22	win
Hawks vs. Cavaliers	Hawks	47¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 236.5	Over	49¢	0¢	$-29	loss
76ers vs. Spurs	Spurs	77¢	100¢	+$15	win

Other 53% +$526 $16,007 vol · 95 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?	No	78¢	100¢	+$11	win
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	84¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?	No	89¢	96¢	+$0	win
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	80¢	90¢	+$1	win
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	92¢	94¢	$-9	loss
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	93¢	86¢	$-2	loss
Les Wexner charged by June 30?	No	84¢	93¢	+$0	—
Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?	No	91¢	94¢	+$0	—
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	94¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting?	No	82¢	80¢	$-1	loss

Esports 82% +$310 $1,976 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	82¢	100¢	+$8	win
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega	BBL Esports	66¢	100¢	+$17	win
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	81¢	100¢	+$7	win
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs	BetBoom Team	71¢	100¢	+$20	win
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	80¢	0¢	$-50	loss
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	75¢	100¢	+$69	win
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A	Bilibili Gaming	82¢	100¢	+$21	win
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Natus Vincere	56¢	100¢	+$22	win
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	Team Spirit	86¢	100¢	+$16	win
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2	FURIA	73¢	100¢	+$84	win

Geopolitics 49% +$107 $6,736 vol · 69 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	31¢	26¢	+$50	win
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	63¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	92¢	100¢	$-43	loss
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	No	91¢	98¢	$-0	loss
US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	89¢	92¢	+$0	—
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	88¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	38¢	18¢	$-15	loss
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$22	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	20¢	10¢	$-7	loss
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?	No	94¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Mentions 75% +$61 $261 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?	Yes	18¢	0¢	+$24	win
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?	Yes	63¢	100¢	+$56	win
Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-22	loss

Culture 41% +$28 $1,732 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$83	win
Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by March 31?	No	94¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	75¢	64¢	$-6	loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?	No	87¢	100¢	$-7	loss
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be between 500k and 600k?	No	91¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "The Romantic" by Bruno Mars be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of March 21?	No	95¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will "The Romantic" by Bruno Mars be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of March 21?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-29	loss
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	95¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will "Jurassic World Rebirth" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	89¢	100¢	$-5	loss

Economy 100% +$0 $95 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?	No	95¢	100¢	+$0	win

Elections 18% $-11 $880 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump declares election interference national emergency?	No	78¢	80¢	+$0	—
Will Brent Bien win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	No	97¢	96¢	$-4	loss
Will Esther Charlestin win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?	No	93¢	97¢	$-0	loss
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	94¢	98¢	$-4	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	86¢	78¢	$-9	loss
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?	Yes	60¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?	No	64¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	91¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Union Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election?	No	95¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Bárður á Steig Nielsen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?	No	97¢	100¢	$-2	loss

Crypto 0% $-21 $484 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	89¢	98¢	+$0	—
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	Yes	98¢	100¢	$-18	loss
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?	No	94¢	100¢	$-2	loss

Politics 55% $-63 $2,250 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?	No	87¢	73¢	$-4	loss
Trump out as President by June 30?	No	91¢	94¢	$-2	loss
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	90¢	50¢	$-76	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 2nd?	No	93¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?	No	88¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump or Melania say "Strait" or "Hormuz" at Chicago Opening Night?	No	96¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?	No	94¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Japanese PM?	No	96¢	100¢	$-27	loss
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Taoiseach events?	No	92¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Miami address?	No	88¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Weather 26% $-88 $4,044 vol · 74 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 31, 2026?	Yes	86¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 16?	No	94¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C on March 30?	No	65¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on March 30?	No	76¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on March 30?	No	95¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on March 30?	No	82¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on March 30?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 30?	No	62¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on March 30?	No	60¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on March 30?	No	75¢	0¢	$-2	loss

Finance 21% $-193 $1,764 vol · 29 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	86¢	82¢	$-1	loss
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of April 13 2026?	No	95¢	0¢	$-48	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 16?	Up	70¢	100¢	+$28	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 13?	Down	79¢	100¢	+$5	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 13?	Down	75¢	0¢	$-4	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 10?	Up	85¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 31, 2026?	Yes	45¢	0¢	+$0	—
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?	Yes	38¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Will Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	76¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will RH (RH) beat quarterly earnings?	No	77¢	100¢	$-18	loss

Tech 40% $-318 $913 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	No	87¢	49¢	$-25	loss
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	No	90¢	93¢	$-1	loss
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	67¢	20¢	$-6	loss
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?	No	86¢	100¢	$-9	loss
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?	No	89¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on March 11?	No	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $315 on March 11?	No	91¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 18?	No	84¢	0¢	$-297	loss
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?	No	88¢	100¢	+$14	win