Win rate
83.9%
1634 W / 314 L
Total PnL
$-27,345
realized $-28,011 · unrealized $666
Portfolio
$666
volume $2,562,864
Predictions
2,552
15.9/day · avg $1,004
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 01/04/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Politics 88% +$702
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monza: Dino Prizmic vs Billy Harris | Dino Prizmic | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Central Arkansas Bears vs. Austin Peay Governors | Central Arkansas Bears | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Central Arkansas Bears vs. Austin Peay Governors | Austin Peay Governors | 87¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | loss |
| Austin Peay Governors vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Austin Peay Governors | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Lee Jae-myung impeached in 2025? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Trump x Khamenei talk in 2025? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Geopolitics 95% +$413
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Senators vs. Canucks | Senators | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Senators vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 30? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| EU sanctions on Iran by September 30? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
Weather 100% +$122
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Wichita State Shockers | Wichita State Shockers | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Providence Friars vs. St. John's Red Storm | St. Johns Red Storm | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| UTSA Roadrunners vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Creighton Bluejays vs. St. John's Red Storm | St. Johns Red Storm | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Marquette Golden Eagles | St. Johns Red Storm | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Charlotte 49ers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami Hurricanes | Miami Hurricanes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Memphis Tigers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| Miami Hurricanes vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Miami Hurricanes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Crypto 86% +$57
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Southern Jaguars | Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 8-14? | No | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down on July 14? | Up | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| XRP Up or Down on July 3? | Up | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Bitcoin above $105,000 on July 1? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Culture 100% +$50
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will 'Fern' win Crunchyroll's Best Supporting Character Award for 2025? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will 'Look Back' win Crunchyroll's Film of the Year Award for 2025? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
Tech 75% +$10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025? | No | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Google have the top AI model on May 31? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Economy 78% $-36
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coppin State Eagles vs. Howard Bison | Howard Bison | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Coppin State Eagles | Coppin State Eagles | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | Prairie View A&M Panthers | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Auburn Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 87¢ | 100¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Coppin State Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs | Coppin State Eagles | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Howard Bison vs. Coppin State Eagles | Howard Bison | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas A&M Aggies | Texas A&M Aggies | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Coppin State Eagles | South Carolina State Bulldogs | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Esports 88% $-64
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffs | Nongshim Esports Academy | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Valorant: MIBR vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs | NRG | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In | Astralis | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group D | MOUZ NXT | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Shadows vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3) | Eternal Fire Academy | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs 4Pirates (BO3) | Aurora | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) | VP.Prodigy | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Counter-Strike: 8Sins vs WOPA Esport (BO3) | 8Sins | 91¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Elections 76% $-6,836
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | 77¢ | 88¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | 51¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$150 | win |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will MAS‑IPSP win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Libre win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election? | Yes | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$530 | win |
Other 85% $-7,567
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions | Guangzhou Loong Lions | 97¢ | 94¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Tianjin Pioneers vs. Qingdao Eagles | Qingdao Eagles | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shanghai Sharks | Shanghai Sharks | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Barcelona Open: Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musetti | Lorenzo Musetti | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Hailey Baptiste vs Iryna Shymanovich | Iryna Shymanovich | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Gabriel Diallo | Alexander Zverev | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Qingdao Eagles vs. Ningbo Rockets | Qingdao Eagles | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharks | Shanghai Sharks | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19? | Yes | 70¢ | 69¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 96¢ | 94¢ | $-1 | loss |
Sports 83% $-10,915
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Arizona Diamondbacks | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics | Chicago White Sox | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners | Texas Rangers | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals | San Francisco Giants | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Atlanta Braves | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Texas Rangers vs. Athletics | Texas Rangers | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-298 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors vs. Suns | Suns | 64.1¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | $150 | 18/04/2026 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals | St. Louis Cardinals | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 96.0¢ | 94¢ | $-1 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) | Minnesota Twins | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $25 | 18/04/2026 |
| Qingdao Eagles vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards | Qingdao Eagles | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $992 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $781 | 17/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Oilers | Oilers | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $504 | 17/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Magic | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $347 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Sharks | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $300 | 17/04/2026 |
| Shanghai Sharks vs. Fujian Sturgeons | Shanghai Sharks | 92.5¢ | 100¢ | $-46 | $516 | 17/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Warriors | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | +$180 | $2,300 | 16/04/2026 |
| Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) | Cleveland Guardians | 36.0¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | $40 | 16/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 82.2¢ | 0¢ | $-685 | $790 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will AZ win on 2026-04-16? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | $60 | 16/04/2026 |
| Qingdao Eagles vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers | Guangdong Southern Tigers | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $1,226 | 15/04/2026 |
| Monza: Dino Prizmic vs Billy Harris | Dino Prizmic | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $180 | 15/04/2026 |
| Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Beijing Ducks | Beijing Ducks | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $784 | 15/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays | 83.4¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Sonic Boom vs. Goyang | Sonic Boom | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Zhejiang Lions vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | Zhejiang Lions | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: 76ers (-8.5) | 76ers | 95.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: 76ers (-4.5) | 76ers | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: 76ers (-5.5) | 76ers | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $60 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-04-14? | Yes | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 15/04/2026 |
| Nanjing Monkey King vs. Beijing Royal Fighters | Nanjing Monkey King | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 15/04/2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Atlanta Braves | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Qingdao Eagles vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers | Qingdao Eagles | 99.8¢ | 0¢ | $-506 | $1,518 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) | Los Angeles Dodgers | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $40 | 14/04/2026 |
| Wild vs. Blues | Blues | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Predators | Sharks | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 90.6¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $496 | 13/04/2026 |
| Seoul Knights vs. Seoul Thunders | Seoul Thunders | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $1,255 | 13/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Shevchenko | Marin Cilic | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $490 | 13/04/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Nuggets | 69.4¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $80 | 13/04/2026 |
| Shanxi Loongs vs. Qingdao Eagles | Qingdao Eagles | 85.7¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $200 | 13/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $600 | 13/04/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Lakers | Lakers | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $900 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Mavericks | Mavericks | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $550 | 13/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Federico Cina vs Jurij Rodionov | Jurij Rodionov | 94.6¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $310 | 13/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Suns | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $400 | 13/04/2026 |
| Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shenzhen Leopards | Shenzhen Leopards | 92.2¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $70 | 13/04/2026 |
| Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Zhejiang Lions | Zhejiang Lions | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $90 | 13/04/2026 |
| Tianjin Pioneers vs. Ningbo Rockets | Tianjin Pioneers | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $120 | 13/04/2026 |
| Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers | Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 93.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $50 | 13/04/2026 |
| Seoul Knights vs. Seoul Thunders | Seoul Knights | 48.9¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 13/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals | Los Angeles Dodgers | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $90 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $40 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $80 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $110 | 12/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals | 86.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |