TheKinginYellow

Other 73% +$11,052 $259,293 vol · 498 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$21	win
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	77¢	93¢	+$46	win
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$44	win
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	No	94¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?	No	75¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	96¢	96¢	+$11	win
Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
US strike on Cuba by January 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	81¢	84¢	$-118	loss
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	19¢	52¢	+$658	win

Politics 71% +$1,973 $237,714 vol · 201 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10¢	8¢	+$4	win
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?	Yes	26¢	26¢	$-79	loss
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	97¢	100¢	+$65	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	86¢	92¢	+$120	win
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-54	loss
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	82¢	90¢	+$4	win
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	50¢	45¢	$-65	loss
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	86¢	86¢	$-2	loss
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	63¢	35¢	$-39	loss
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	30¢	33¢	+$7	win

Geopolitics 75% +$1,410 $218,127 vol · 183 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	45¢	100¢	+$219	win
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	97¢	100¢	$-22	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	56¢	30¢	$-93	loss
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	54¢	72¢	+$146	win
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?	No	97¢	96¢	$-3	loss
US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	93¢	92¢	$-8	loss
NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	92¢	94¢	+$2	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	62¢	90¢	+$98	win
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?	No	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	51¢	67¢	+$258	win

Finance 78% +$706 $5,906 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	91¢	98¢	+$64	win
Will Nike (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$46	win
Chubb and AIG merger announced by January 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$7	win
Celonis IPO in 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?	No	92¢	100¢	+$175	win
Pershing Square IPO in 2024?	No	84¢	100¢	+$250	win

Tech 77% +$593 $22,882 vol · 35 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?	No	62¢	68¢	+$16	win
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?	No	94¢	94¢	+$2	win
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?	No	92¢	91¢	$-4	loss
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	62¢	100¢	$-22	loss
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	67¢	100¢	+$51	win
Will Pedro Pascal be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?	No	91¢	100¢	+$1	win
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?	No	94¢	100¢	+$7	win
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?	No	8¢	0¢	+$5	win
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	39¢	0¢	$-56	loss
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$57	win

Sports 61% +$548 $14,480 vol · 51 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	73¢	78¢	+$28	win
Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season?	Yes	41¢	3¢	$-56	loss
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	87¢	89¢	+$2	win
Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	37¢	34¢	$-8	loss
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	27¢	29¢	+$3	win
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	5¢	15¢	+$152	win
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?	No	81¢	97¢	+$45	win
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	59¢	100¢	+$104	win
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreeva	Mirra Andreeva	69¢	100¢	+$76	win
OKC breaks NBA single-season wins record?	No	79¢	100¢	+$95	win

Culture 100% +$305 $2,095 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$95	win
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	70¢	100¢	+$60	win
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?	No	90¢	100¢	+$27	win
China bans US films in April?	No	88¢	100¢	+$88	win

Mentions 0% $-509 $509 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bill Ackman tweets another manifesto by November 30?	No	96¢	0¢	$-109	loss
Will Ye tweet again by next Friday?	No	40¢	0¢	$-400	loss

Economy 0% $-514 $888 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates	No	43¢	0¢	$-173	loss
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before June?	No	18¢	0¢	$-341	loss

Elections 48% $-2,332 $37,221 vol · 25 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	76¢	81¢	+$26	win
Will Trump nationalize elections?	No	85¢	78¢	$-208	loss
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines in 2025?	No	19¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	No	79¢	80¢	+$37	win
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	9¢	42¢	+$307	win
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	64¢	66¢	+$8	win
Venezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?	No	86¢	100¢	+$14	win
Japanese Snap Election Called by December 31, 2025?	Yes	38¢	0¢	$-434	loss
Will Maria Steen win the Irish Presidential Election?	No	94¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will turnout be 56% or higher in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?	No	93¢	100¢	$-3	loss

Crypto 57% $-2,664 $21,339 vol · 37 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Ethereum flipped in 2026?	No	82¢	62¢	$-93	loss
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?	No	92¢	94¢	+$13	win
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinn	Cameron Norrie	64¢	100¢	+$73	win
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Otto Virtanen	Ethan Quinn	68¢	100¢	+$47	win
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?	No	93¢	100¢	+$5	win
Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$37	win
Miami Open: Casper Ruud vs Ethan Quinn	Casper Ruud	64¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in February?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Will Ye say something antisemitic before March?	No	81¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine in 2025?	No	80¢	100¢	+$98	win