Win rate
42.2%
62 W / 85 L
Total PnL
$-771
realized $-2,567 · unrealized $1,795
Portfolio
$1,795
volume $150,599
Predictions
6,563
77.7/day · avg $23
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/1969 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 41% +$154
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 46¢ | 40¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 23¢ | 57¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | Yes | 30¢ | 36¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-13? | No | 71¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 71¢ | 99¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-04-10? | No | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5 | Under | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-05? | Yes | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw? | No | 81¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Antalya 3: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Katarzyna Kawa | Katarzyna Kawa | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Esports 71% +$100
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 | Team Falcons | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner | Xtreme Gaming | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | MOUZ | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs | Vitality | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Clash Group Omega | Karmine Corp | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs | PARIVISION | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage | G2 | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
Politics 67% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say “Tampon Tim” by February 28? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Golden Dome" this week? (February 15) | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Trump say "Olympics" this week? (February 15) | Yes | 92¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 50% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17? | No | 80¢ | 97¢ | +$4 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | Down | 72¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
Culture 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 53m and 59m? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Finance 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 10? | Down | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
Elections 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat? | Yes | 20¢ | 24¢ | $-3 | loss |
Mentions 33% $-11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
Tech 0% $-13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meta "Mango" model released by June 30? | No | 18¢ | 28¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
Geopolitics 18% $-15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 10¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? | Yes | 11¢ | 4¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026? | No | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 87¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? | No | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28? | Yes | 22¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
Weather 50% $-21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 11? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 10? | No | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
Sports 49% $-27
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canucks vs. Sharks | Sharks | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5 | Over | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Flames vs. Kraken | Flames | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Hurricanes vs. Utah | Utah | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Pegula | Pegula | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Shintaro Mochizuki | Perricard | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| T20 World Cup: Italy vs West Indies (Game 1) | West Indies | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Julia Taubitz (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Luge - Women's Singles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | No | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims) | Uros Medic | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card) | Strickland | 29¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17? | No | 80.3¢ | 97¢ | +$4 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-13? | No | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Sharks | Sharks | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 71.0¢ | 99¢ | +$8 | $42 | 12/04/2026 |
| Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5 | Over | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $20 | 11/04/2026 |
| Flames vs. Kraken | Flames | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 11/04/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Utah | Utah | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-04-10? | No | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $21 | 10/04/2026 |
| CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5 | Under | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $21 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-05? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw? | No | 81.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 06/04/2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $23 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 40.3¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $70 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 8.4¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $75 | 31/03/2026 |
| Antalya 3: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Katarzyna Kawa | Katarzyna Kawa | 88.5¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $80 | 19/03/2026 |
| Hersonissos 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Petr Nesterov | Petr Nesterov | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $45 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | $26 | 13/03/2026 |
| Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Pegula | Pegula | 59.4¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $30 | 28/02/2026 |
| Delray Beach Open: Taylor Fritz vs Tommy Paul | Paul | 52.5¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $23 | 28/02/2026 |
| Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Shintaro Mochizuki | Perricard | 90.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $22 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? | Yes | 92.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 28/02/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026? | No | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $38 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $45 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 87.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $23 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026? | No | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $29 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Trump say “Tampon Tim” by February 28? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $30 | 28/02/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026? | No | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $38 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | No | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $32 | 28/02/2026 |
| T20 Series Australia vs. India, Women: Australia vs India | Australia | 68.2¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $40 | 28/02/2026 |
| New Delhi: Oliver Crawford vs Jay Clarke | Clarke | 64.8¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 27/02/2026 |
| T20 World Cup: Italy vs West Indies (Game 1) | West Indies | 83.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $48 | 26/02/2026 |
| Qatar Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Andrey Rublev | Marozsan | 40.6¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 25/02/2026 |
| Will Julia Taubitz (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Luge - Women's Singles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | No | 32.6¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $32 | 23/02/2026 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23? | No | 50.7¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 23/02/2026 |
| Men's Final - Canada vs. USA | USA | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $61 | 22/02/2026 |
| LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner | Dplus KIA | 36.3¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $26 | 22/02/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims) | Uros Medic | 35.4¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $22 | 22/02/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card) | Strickland | 29.1¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $20 | 22/02/2026 |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) | Rockets | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $26 | 22/02/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Phil Rowe vs. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (Welterweight, Prelims) | Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $54 | 22/02/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Josiah Harrell vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card) | Jacobe Smith | 74.4¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $73 | 22/02/2026 |
| LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs | LYON | 60.4¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $36 | 22/02/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 | Team Falcons | 73.6¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $57 | 22/02/2026 |
| LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner | T1 | 65.1¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $38 | 22/02/2026 |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner | Xtreme Gaming | 52.3¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $21 | 22/02/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | MOUZ | 71.2¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $36 | 22/02/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims) | Coria | 77.3¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $35 | 22/02/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs | Vitality | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $37 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $30 | 22/02/2026 |
| Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Clash Group Omega | Karmine Corp | 73.6¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 22/02/2026 |