Win rate
50.1%
876 W / 871 L
Total PnL
$2,792
realized $2,053 · unrealized $738
Portfolio
$738
volume $389,900
Predictions
3,011
20.2/day · avg $129
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 09/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 51% +$2,761
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 83¢ | 82¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | No | 65¢ | 83¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | No | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 36¢ | 32¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 79¢ | 68¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Fajing Sun | Fajing Sun | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$123 | win |
| Busan: August Holmgren vs Liam Broady | August Holmgren | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-145 | loss |
| BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcan | Daniel Altmaier | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Busan: Yi Zhou vs Pavel Kotov | Yi Zhou | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-234 | loss |
Sports 50% +$1,409
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 55¢ | 2¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres | Seattle Mariners | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$104 | win |
| Texas Rangers vs. Athletics | Texas Rangers | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians | Baltimore Orioles | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmez | Zeynep Sonmez | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
Politics 50% $-24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 92¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 85¢ | 84¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 71¢ | 40¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | No | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
Finance 50% $-74
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busan: Marat Sharipov vs Yasutaka Uchiyama | Yasutaka Uchiyama | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4? | Down | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026? | No | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 27? | Down | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 20? | Up | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
Geopolitics 50% $-260
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 48¢ | 82¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 38¢ | 30¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 39¢ | 18¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-138 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 69¢ | 74¢ | +$75 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 73¢ | 94¢ | +$15 | win |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
Weather 17% $-378
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | Duke Blue Devils | 63¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | St. Johns Red Storm | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-180 | loss |
| Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Wichita State Shockers | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks | St. Johns Red Storm | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks | Kansas Jayhawks | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-142 | loss |
| Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes | Missouri Tigers | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
Crypto 50% $-400
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 47¢ | 55¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 54¢ | 60¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | Yes | 51¢ | 40¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17? | Down | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-326 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10? | No | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-104 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March? | Yes | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 53¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Esports 47% $-1,754
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Xtreme Gaming | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$141 | win |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 | Over | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | win |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner | Team Liquid | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Team Spirit | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | MOUZ | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-328 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Legacy | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Natus Vincere | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs | Team Nemesis | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-205 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Xtreme Gaming | 54.7¢ | 100¢ | +$141 | $170 | 18/04/2026 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 | Over | 42.7¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $52 | 18/04/2026 |
| Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Texas Rangers | 32.8¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | $62 | 18/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner | Team Liquid | 34.9¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $38 | 18/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Team Spirit | 55.7¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $40 | 18/04/2026 |
| Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers | G2 Minnesota | 64.7¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 18/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 | Under | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $35 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | MOUZ | 37.8¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | $84 | 17/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Utah | Utah | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | $97 | 17/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds | 61.0¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | $65 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17? | Down | 32.7¢ | 0¢ | $-326 | $407 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | T1 | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 53.3¢ | 0¢ | $-328 | $332 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 50.7¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 | Over | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $40 | 16/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 69.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $55 | 16/04/2026 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $70 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Canucks | Canucks | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $38 | 15/04/2026 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $66 | 15/04/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Blues | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $35 | 15/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays | 42.4¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 80.8¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $21 | 15/04/2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | 46.8¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | $106 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Legacy | 40.4¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $106 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Natus Vincere | 32.7¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $63 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Avalanche vs. Flames | Flames | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Capitals vs. Blue Jackets | Capitals | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$138 | $100 | 14/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Under | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Hornets | 71.8¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $86 | 14/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Heat | 58.2¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $29 | 14/04/2026 |
| Athletics vs. New York Yankees | Athletics | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 14/04/2026 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $27 | 14/04/2026 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians | Kansas City Royals | 47.3¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 14/04/2026 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox | 33.5¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | $83 | 14/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs | Team Nemesis | 47.6¢ | 0¢ | $-205 | $208 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | B8 | 17.6¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $48 | 14/04/2026 |
| Canadiens vs. Flyers | Canadiens | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 14/04/2026 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 | Over | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | $58 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Spirit | 36.6¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $40 | 14/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 | Over | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 14/04/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5 | Over | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$312 | $337 | 13/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | G2 | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $35 | 13/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Punjab Kings | Kolkata Knight Riders | 49.0¢ | 50¢ | +$4 | $190 | 13/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5) | 3DMAX | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-128 | $130 | 13/04/2026 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 | Under | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | $85 | 13/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5) | G2 | 54.4¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $69 | 13/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Josh Hokit | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $40 | 12/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) | Milwaukee Brewers | 49.8¢ | 0¢ | $-214 | $218 | 12/04/2026 |