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Geopolitics 85% +$4,968 $19,113 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	28¢	0¢	+$166	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	49¢	80¢	+$32	win
Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	73¢	82¢	+$1	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	83¢	92¢	+$49	win
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	88¢	96¢	+$16	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	57¢	85¢	+$24	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	14¢	0¢	+$5	win
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	80¢	94¢	+$87	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	88¢	95¢	+$33	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	56¢	100¢	+$50	win

Other 90% +$1,379 $14,584 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	83¢	80¢	$-16	loss
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	98¢	99¢	+$19	win
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	95¢	95¢	$-0	loss
Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	95¢	99¢	+$2	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	56¢	76¢	+$276	win
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	83¢	93¢	+$34	win
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	70¢	93¢	+$45	win
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	72¢	99¢	+$400	win
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	No	64¢	78¢	+$3	win

Tech 100% +$664 $548 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 10?	Up	42¢	100¢	+$466	win
Meta (META) Up or Down on April 10?	Up	51¢	100¢	+$198	win

Finance 100% +$354 $1,276 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	27¢	24¢	+$52	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 10?	Up	49¢	100¢	+$58	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?	Up	39¢	100¢	+$21	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?	Down	36¢	0¢	+$67	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 16?	Up	39¢	100¢	+$38	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 5?	Down	53¢	100¢	+$20	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?	Up	56¢	0¢	+$96	win

Politics 80% +$232 $6,239 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	26¢	27¢	+$12	win
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	50¢	72¢	+$79	win
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?	No	88¢	91¢	+$24	win
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	59¢	40¢	$-24	loss
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	No	69¢	88¢	+$25	win
Trump out as President by April 30?	No	97¢	99¢	+$3	win
Trump announces Attorney General pick by April 10, 2026?	No	90¢	100¢	+$4	win
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	No	76¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?	No	83¢	0¢	+$82	win
Will Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation?	No	30¢	0¢	$-28	loss

Culture 75% +$128 $1,255 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?	No	80¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?	Yes	60¢	0¢	$-66	loss
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	68¢	100¢	+$187	win
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$4	win

Crypto 100% +$14 $528 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	92¢	99¢	+$0	—
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	91¢	98¢	+$14	win

Economy 100% +$2 $66 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?	No	57¢	0¢	+$2	win

Elections 80% $-8 $2,205 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	62¢	64¢	+$18	win
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	84¢	84¢	+$3	win
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	75¢	78¢	+$13	win
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	64¢	66¢	+$8	win
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	31¢	0¢	$-49	loss

Mentions 0% $-91 $91 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-91	loss

Sports 48% $-283 $5,404 vol · 75 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$447	win
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	No	27¢	0¢	$-134	loss
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	10¢	0¢	+$37	win
Patriots vs. Broncos	Broncos	38¢	0¢	$-122	loss
Bills vs. Patriots	Bills	48¢	100¢	+$7	win
Chargers vs. Chiefs: O/U 41.5	Over	51¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Ravens vs. Bengals	Bengals	41¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Browns vs. Bears: O/U 39.5	Over	46¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Packers vs. Broncos	Packers	52¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)	Seahawks	51¢	100¢	+$122	win