Win rate
65.2%
135 W / 72 L
Total PnL
$-4,755
realized $-5,884 · unrealized $1,129
Portfolio
$1,129
volume $127,220
Predictions
467
4.4/day · avg $272
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/12/2020 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 57% +$1,588
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? | Yes | 26¢ | 3¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5) | Connecticut Huskies | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$887 | win |
| Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5) | Michigan Wolverines | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | win |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5 | Under | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini | Illinois Fighting Illini | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-400 | loss |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | Arizona Wildcats | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$167 | win |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | Michigan State Spartans | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | Iowa Hawkeyes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5) | St. Johns Red Storm | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$199 | win |
| Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans | Michigan State Spartans | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
Crypto 60% +$315
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 4? | Yes | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the FTX Crypto Cup? | No | 37¢ | 0¢ | +$325 | win |
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the FTX Crypto Cup? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | $-69 | loss |
| Will Magnus Carlsen or Teimour Radjabov win their Semifinals Series of the FTX Crypto Cup? | Carlsen | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on April 1, 2021? | Yes | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
Geopolitics 71% +$124
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 29¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | +$9 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
Esports 100% +$37
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will win Nets v. Celtics: Game 5? | Nets | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
Culture 0% $-74
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chadwick Boseman win Best Actor at the 2021 Oscars? | Yes | 92¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | loss |
Elections 0% $-106
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 13¢ | 8¢ | $-100 | loss |
Weather 74% $-580
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 19? | No | 75¢ | 76¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17? | No | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 13? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 13? | No | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 10? | No | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 5? | No | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 2? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 1? | No | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 27? | No | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 25? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
Sports 42% $-2,020
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | No | 64¢ | 70¢ | $-91 | loss |
| Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 59¢ | 69¢ | $-286 | loss |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox | Detroit Tigers | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-226 | loss |
| NCAA Tournament: No. 16 seed to pull off an upset? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-163 | loss |
| Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-1,689 | loss |
| Knicks vs. Raptors | Knicks | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Stars vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 | Under | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Panthers vs. Blues | Panthers | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Politics 50% $-3,988
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-144 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$97 | win |
| Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-433 | loss |
| Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | No | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-3,575 | loss |
| Will 225M COVID-19 vaccine doses have been administered in the US by Biden's 100th day in office? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 19? | No | 75.1¢ | 76¢ | +$1 | $72 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17? | No | 64.8¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 55.5¢ | 0¢ | $-226 | $226 | 17/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 13? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 13? | No | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 10? | No | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 10/04/2026 |
| Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5) | Connecticut Huskies | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$887 | $1,000 | 07/04/2026 |
| NCAA Tournament: No. 16 seed to pull off an upset? | No | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | $-163 | $371 | 07/04/2026 |
| Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5) | Michigan Wolverines | 55.4¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $70 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 5? | No | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $25 | 05/04/2026 |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5 | Under | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 4.2¢ | 0¢ | +$15 | $124 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $51 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 14.8¢ | 0¢ | $-151 | $151 | 04/04/2026 |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini | Illinois Fighting Illini | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-400 | $400 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 10.1¢ | 0¢ | $-1,689 | $1,689 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 2? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $25 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 1? | No | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $25 | 01/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 37.2¢ | 0¢ | +$28 | $1,325 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Yes | 9.9¢ | 0¢ | +$9 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | Arizona Wildcats | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$167 | $410 | 29/03/2026 |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | Michigan State Spartans | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 28/03/2026 |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | Iowa Hawkeyes | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 28/03/2026 |
| Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5) | St. Johns Red Storm | 50.1¢ | 100¢ | +$199 | $200 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 27? | No | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 25? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $1,000 | 25/03/2026 |
| Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans | Michigan State Spartans | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $100 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 16? | No | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $50 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on March 16? | No | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 16? | No | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on March 16? | No | 10.9¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $99 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 14? | No | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $50 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or higher on March 14? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 14? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 14? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on March 14? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 13? | No | 87.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $30 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or below on March 13? | Yes | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $23 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on March 12? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 12/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 12? | Yes | 2.7¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $23 | 12/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or below on March 12? | Yes | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 12/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C or higher on March 11? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $34 | 11/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on March 11? | No | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $105 | 11/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or higher on March 11? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $26 | 11/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 11? | No | 88.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $33 | 11/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 11? | No | 88.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $30 | 11/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on March 11? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $46 | 11/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on March 11? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $30 | 11/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 86°F or higher on March 11? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $59 | 11/03/2026 |