Win rate
60.0%
9 W / 6 L
Total PnL
$254
realized $-358 · unrealized $613
Portfolio
$613
volume $14,711
Predictions
32
0.3/day · avg $460
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 15/12/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 71% +$234
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will 'Magazine Dreams' gross between 1-2m on opening weekend? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Presbyterian College vs. UNC Asheville | Presbyterian College | 21¢ | 100¢ | +$179 | win |
| Stony Brook vs. Hampton | Hampton | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| 2025 February hottest on record? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Creighton vs. St. John's | St. Johns | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| IPFW vs. Robert Morris | Robert Morris | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
Sports 67% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 85¢ | 86¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Celtics vs. Pistons | Celtics | 65¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | win |
Elections 33% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 75¢ | 76¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
Mentions 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 14-21? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Politics 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 96¢ | 93¢ | $-1 | loss |
Recent Trades (17)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 'Magazine Dreams' gross between 1-2m on opening weekend? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | $261 | 24/03/2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 14-21? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $260 | 21/03/2025 |
| Celtics vs. Pistons | Celtics | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | $87 | 06/03/2025 |
| Presbyterian College vs. UNC Asheville | Presbyterian College | 21.0¢ | 100¢ | +$179 | $48 | 05/03/2025 |
| Stony Brook vs. Hampton | Hampton | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $60 | 28/02/2025 |
| 2025 February hottest on record? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $257 | 28/02/2025 |
| Creighton vs. St. John's | St. Johns | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $42 | 23/02/2025 |
| IPFW vs. Robert Morris | Robert Morris | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $21 | 22/02/2025 |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $61 | 08/12/2024 |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $21 | 08/12/2024 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 96.4¢ | 93¢ | $-1 | $613 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 88.2¢ | 88¢ | $-1 | $654 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 74.7¢ | 76¢ | +$21 | $594 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 96.8¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $613 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 95.4¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | $1,284 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 85.3¢ | 86¢ | $-1 | $1,207 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97.5¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $612 | 07/11/2028 |