Win rate
96.0%
1893 W / 80 L
Total PnL
$-11,396
realized $-13,205 · unrealized $1,810
Portfolio
$1,810
volume $1,501,603
Predictions
3,057
45.7/day · avg $491
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/06/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Economy 100% +$1,583
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$1,571 | win |
Tech 95% +$184
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $200 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 13? | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of April 6 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $610 Week of April 6 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 7? | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 7? | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 6? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Meta (META) Up or Down on April 6? | Down | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 1? | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Amazon reach $216 in March? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 97% +$139
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will EUR/USD hit 1.16 (Low) in 2026? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $144 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $145 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 9? | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| EWY (EWY) Up or Down on April 6? | Up | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on April 2? | Up | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on March 30? | Down | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Liudmila Samsonova win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 100% +$78
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 79¢ | 83¢ | +$78 | win |
| Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week? (February 1) | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 94% +$47
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 13? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on April 8? | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 6? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 30? | Down | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 5? | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 12? | Down | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 10? | Up | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 6? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 3? | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on January 30? | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Weather 100% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 1? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Finance 95% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $685 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit (HIGH) $610 Week of April 6 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of April 6 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on April 9? | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on April 8? | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on March 31? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on March 13? | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 10? | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 2? | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 97% $-603
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ACA premium tax credits be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump say "Restaurant" this week? (March 1) | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 14? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by February 12? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump say "Eisenhower" this week? (February 1) | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump visit Minneapolis-Saint Paul by January 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in December? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together, without a clear handshake? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by December 29, 2025? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 97% $-642
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Ethereum above 2,520 on April 17, 1PM ET? | No | 98¢ | 54¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Ethereum above 2,370 on April 17, 1PM ET? | Yes | 98¢ | 54¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Bitcoin above 73,200 on April 15, 8PM ET? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin above 76,600 on April 16, 6AM ET? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin above 75,600 on April 16, 7AM ET? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Ethereum above 2,300 on April 15, 8PM ET? | Yes | 99¢ | 50¢ | $-97 | loss |
| Bitcoin above 76,400 on April 15, 8PM ET? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Ethereum above 2,255 on April 15, 1PM ET? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Geopolitics 85% $-12,202
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Iran strike Oman in March? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 18, 2026? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $101 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $685 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $115 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $144 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $54 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $57 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $142 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $74 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $143 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $145 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $200 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $97 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,520 on April 17, 1PM ET? | No | 98.0¢ | 54¢ | $-19 | $42 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,370 on April 17, 1PM ET? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 54¢ | $-11 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,200 on April 15, 8PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $198 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 15? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,279 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 76,600 on April 16, 6AM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 75,600 on April 16, 7AM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 16/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,330 on April 15, 8PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 50¢ | $-170 | $348 | 16/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,300 on April 15, 8PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 50¢ | $-97 | $198 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 77,200 on April 15, 8PM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 76,400 on April 15, 8PM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 72,600 on April 15, 1PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $257 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,280 on April 15, 11AM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $257 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,255 on April 15, 1PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $257 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,000 on April 15, 6PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $198 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,000 on April 15, 1PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $198 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,600 on April 15, 2PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $198 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,200 on April 15, 12PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $192 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 72,000 on April 15, 12PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $90 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,200 on April 15, 2PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $68 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 72,400 on April 15, 2PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 75,800 on April 15, 6AM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 76,400 on April 15, 10AM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 74,600 on April 15, 6AM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 72,200 on April 15, 4PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,000 on April 15, 4PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 75,000 on April 15, 6AM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,240 on April 15, 8AM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,400 on April 15, 10AM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 75,800 on April 15, 4PM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,365 on April 15, 7AM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 75,600 on April 15, 2PM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 72,200 on April 15, 11AM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,400 on April 15, 11AM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,355 on April 15, 6AM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,270 on April 15, 12PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 72,800 on April 15, 2PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,370 on April 15, 11AM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 72,400 on April 15, 10AM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,400 on April 15, 11AM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 72,200 on April 15, 1PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,390 on April 15, 8AM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 74,800 on April 15, 7AM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |