naonaov2

Sports 56% +$1,632 $24,635 vol · 329 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	19¢	30¢	+$22	win
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	3¢	2¢	$-11	loss
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	83¢	84¢	+$1	win
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	56¢	55¢	$-2	loss
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	48¢	100¢	+$38	win
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	55¢	54¢	$-2	loss
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins	Milwaukee Brewers	50¢	48¢	$-2	loss
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	51¢	100¢	+$80	win
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics	Athletics	53¢	100¢	+$67	win
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	48¢	0¢	$-67	loss

Crypto 50% +$545 $2,325 vol · 34 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	84¢	83¢	$-4	loss
Netherlands vs. Norway: O/U 1.5	Over	71¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Netherlands vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	15¢	0¢	+$7	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	44¢	100¢	+$187	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	33¢	100¢	+$143	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	36¢	100¢	+$139	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	40¢	100¢	+$96	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	50¢	100¢	+$91	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	48¢	100¢	+$88	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	48¢	100¢	+$71	win

Tech 22% +$206 $674 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	No	37¢	24¢	$-9	loss
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	29¢	0¢	$-80	loss
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026	Yes	64¢	0¢	$-78	loss

Geopolitics 51% +$195 $3,383 vol · 40 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	30¢	24¢	$-5	loss
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	54¢	100¢	+$26	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	24¢	6¢	$-29	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	77¢	42¢	+$7	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	16¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	32¢	6¢	$-69	loss
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	56¢	53¢	$-3	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	92¢	99¢	+$4	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	87¢	70¢	$-4	loss
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	No	90¢	100¢	+$10	win

Weather 75% +$108 $254 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks	Kansas Jayhawks	29¢	0¢	$-50	loss
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks	St. Johns Red Storm	89¢	100¢	+$5	win
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes	Miami Hurricanes	53¢	100¢	+$27	win

Elections 60% +$18 $317 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	17¢	17¢	+$1	win
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-03 House seat?	Yes	92¢	91¢	$-1	loss
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?	No	93¢	89¢	$-3	loss
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$4	win

Culture 100% +$3 $22 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Campinas: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Alvaro Guillen Meza	Pedro Boscardin Dias	90¢	100¢	+$3	win

Economy 0% $-21 $23 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-21	loss

Politics 50% $-50 $575 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	No	42¢	0¢	$-75	loss
Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during the next White House press briefing?	No	38¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	42¢	1¢	$-74	loss
Oeiras 3: Jurij Rodionov vs Billy Harris	Jurij Rodionov	62¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Trump post "Hell" on Truth Social this week?	No	22¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Trump say "Putin" during events with Rutte?	No	42¢	100¢	+$39	win
Will Trump say "Iran" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?	No	40¢	0¢	$-51	loss
Will Trump say "Iran" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?	No	34¢	100¢	+$49	win
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	24¢	12¢	$-22	loss
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on March 27, 2026?	Yes	56¢	0¢	$-49	loss

Finance 50% $-71 $890 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	53¢	48¢	+$6	win
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	49¢	56¢	+$1	win
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	47¢	44¢	$-40	loss
Busan: Marat Sharipov vs Yasutaka Uchiyama	Marat Sharipov	75¢	100¢	+$24	win
Busan: Marat Sharipov vs Yasutaka Uchiyama	Yasutaka Uchiyama	24¢	0¢	$-39	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?	Down	41¢	0¢	$-24	loss

Mentions 0% $-515 $515 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in March 2026?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-72	loss
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-47	loss
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?	No	71¢	0¢	$-145	loss
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-251	loss

Esports 41% $-1,623 $11,381 vol · 188 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	Heroic	25¢	24¢	$-4	loss
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs	Natus Vincere	18¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega	VARREL	20¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	76¢	100¢	+$25	win
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winner	Inner Circle	56¢	0¢	$-61	loss
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs	Ilbirs eSports	26¢	100¢	+$189	win
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Top Esports	49¢	100¢	+$23	win
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	FURIA	77¢	100¢	+$36	win
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Team Falcons	55¢	100¢	+$33	win
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	91¢	100¢	+$8	win

Other 53% $-2,744 $26,066 vol · 369 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	52¢	41¢	$-5	loss
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	Yes	54¢	60¢	+$12	win
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	61¢	100¢	+$31	win
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	63¢	56¢	$-3	loss
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	36¢	0¢	$-80	loss
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	14¢	0¢	$-146	loss
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	32¢	35¢	+$67	win
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	93¢	92¢	$-0	loss
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	84¢	81¢	$-2	loss
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	84¢	82¢	$-1	loss