Win rate
70.2%
80 W / 34 L
Total PnL
$-462
realized $-1,035 · unrealized $573
Portfolio
$573
volume $26,636
Predictions
370
11.3/day · avg $72
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Weather 100% +$34
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 6? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 5? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 4°C on April 4? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 4? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 4? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 3? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 2? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on April 2? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 1? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on March 30? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Elections 100% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance say "Election" 4+ times during meetings with Orbán? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Crypto 75% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April? | No | 80¢ | 90¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 7? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | No | 97¢ | 96¢ | $-1 | loss |
Mentions 0% $-21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
Geopolitics 50% $-23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | No | 94¢ | 97¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30? | No | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will JD Vance say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 6+ times during meetings with Orbán? | Yes | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Sports 0% $-113
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%? | No | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
Politics 77% $-182
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Leavitt say "Death to America" during the next White House press briefing? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30? | No | 49¢ | 78¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | No | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Peace" or "War" 3+ times during Monday news conference? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump say "Mad" this week? (April 5) | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during executive order signing today? | Yes | 98¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Fun" this week? (March 29) | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump post "NATO" on Truth Social this week? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-68 | loss |
| Will Leavitt say "Capitol Hill" during the next White House Press Briefing? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Esports 61% $-226
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | JD Gaming | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | RED Canids | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winner | FOKUS | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | TheMongolz | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | PARIVISION | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-172 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winner | UNO MILLE | 27¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | win |
| Counter-Strike: NRG vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winner | EYEBALLERS | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | FOKUS | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-255 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | PARIVISION | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | TheMongolz | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
Other 38% $-271
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 31¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $3B in 2026? | Yes | 93¢ | 92¢ | $-0 | loss |
| CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? | No | 41¢ | 70¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | No | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 91¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 61¢ | 25¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Sarasota: Hugo Dellien vs Kilian Feldbausch | Hugo Dellien | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | win |
| WTT - Women's Singles: Honoka Hashimoto vs Eun-Seo Kim | Hashimoto | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants | Kolkata Knight Riders | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 61.0¢ | 25¢ | $-13 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sarasota: Hugo Dellien vs Kilian Feldbausch | Hugo Dellien | 39.7¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $46 | 16/04/2026 |
| WTT - Women's Singles: Honoka Hashimoto vs Eun-Seo Kim | Hashimoto | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $95 | 16/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants | Kolkata Knight Riders | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 16/04/2026 |
| WTT - Men's Singles: Yang Sun vs Kwan To Yiu | Sun | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $97 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | No | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 43.7¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%? | No | 34.3¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%? | Yes | 35.2¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will El Ittihad SC El Iskandary win on 2026-04-14? | No | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | JD Gaming | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $39 | 13/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | RED Canids | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Ground Zero Gaming | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12? | No | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner | HANJIN BRION | 37.6¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will JD Vance say "God" 3+ times during meetings with Orbán? | Yes | 68.3¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $24 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will JD Vance say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 6+ times during meetings with Orbán? | Yes | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $33 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will JD Vance say "Election" 4+ times during meetings with Orbán? | Yes | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $25 | 08/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winner | FOKUS | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 08/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | TheMongolz | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $155 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 92.0¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $100 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 7? | No | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $22 | 07/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | PARIVISION | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | $-172 | $172 | 07/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winner | UNO MILLE | 27.2¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | $38 | 06/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: NRG vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winner | EYEBALLERS | 44.2¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $42 | 06/04/2026 |
| LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winner | Team Heretics | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $40 | 06/04/2026 |
| LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winner | GIANTX | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $22 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Power" or "Strength" during Monday news conference? | Yes | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $54 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 6? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $48 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Peace" or "War" 3+ times during Monday news conference? | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $22 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 6? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $27 | 06/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | FOKUS | 75.0¢ | 0¢ | $-255 | $255 | 06/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | PARIVISION | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $200 | 05/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | TheMongolz | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $209 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 5? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $112 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Mad" this week? (April 5) | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 05/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | TheMongolz | 81.3¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $145 | 04/04/2026 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | G2 Esports | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $100 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 4°C on April 4? | Yes | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $68 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 4? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $69 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 4? | Yes | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $28 | 04/04/2026 |
| Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Rawalpindi Pindiz | Rawalpindi Pindiz | 45.1¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 3? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $108 | 03/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Rare Atom (BO3) - Yuqilin Pinnacle of Battle Playoffs | Rare Atom | 63.3¢ | 50¢ | $-5 | $26 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 2? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $151 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on April 2? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $72 | 02/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Unsettled Resentment vs TYLOO (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffs | Unsettled Resentment | 61.3¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 02/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs | G2 | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $162 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 1? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 01/04/2026 |