Win rate
28.1%
25 W / 64 L
Total PnL
$586
realized $-740 · unrealized $1,325
Portfolio
$1,325
volume $166,837
Predictions
98
2.0/day · avg $1,702
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 38% +$862
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinion FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | Connecticut Huskies | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$874 | win |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-15? | No | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | win |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-14? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw? | No | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-101 | loss |
| Will Lille OSC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw? | Yes | 23¢ | 100¢ | +$274 | win |
| Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-07? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | loss |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04? | Yes | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-101 | loss |
Esports 100% +$53
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | Natus Vincere | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
Crypto 83% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 24? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 10? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 6? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 4? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Weather 50% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$228 | win |
| Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-229 | loss |
Economy 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Geopolitics 85% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 80¢ | 92¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 0% $-14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
Politics 0% $-28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
Sports 4% $-234
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Knicks vs. Nuggets | Knicks | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | win |
| Islanders vs. Blue Jackets | Blue Jackets | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | loss |
| Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-149 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | Connecticut Huskies | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$874 | $1,026 | 28/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | Natus Vincere | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $90 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $628 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-15? | No | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | $106 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,239 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-14? | No | 71.9¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $102 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw? | No | 72.9¢ | 0¢ | $-101 | $101 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will Lille OSC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 100¢ | +$274 | $82 | 08/03/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Nuggets | Knicks | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | $76 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-07? | Yes | 22.9¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $66 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04? | Yes | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-101 | $101 | 04/03/2026 |
| Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5 | Over | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-125 | $125 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 28/02/2026 |
| Islanders vs. Blue Jackets | Blue Jackets | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | $120 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 24? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 24/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 11? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $35 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 10? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 6? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 06/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42 | 05/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $56 | 04/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 4? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 04/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $46 | 03/02/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-149 | $149 | 02/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $32 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $33 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $45 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,043 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,686 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $708 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $1,800 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 80.0¢ | 92¢ | $-9 | $1,360 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $648 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $753 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,253 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,425 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $582 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $628 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $740 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $849 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,139 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,382 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,207 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $2,359 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $3,189 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $3,243 | 20/07/2026 |