Win rate
61.2%
104 W / 66 L
Total PnL
$247
realized $-931 · unrealized $1,178
Portfolio
$1,178
volume $59,516
Predictions
586
31.5/day · avg $102
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 26/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 60% +$308
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 37¢ | 46¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 6¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians | Baltimore Orioles | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Texas Rangers vs. Athletics | Texas Rangers | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs | Pittsburgh Pirates | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Blues vs. Utah | Utah | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Kraken | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Crypto 68% +$149
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | Yes | 27¢ | 60¢ | +$49 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | No | 79¢ | 92¢ | +$6 | win |
| Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinn | Ethan Quinn | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 21? | Yes | 86¢ | 98¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 20? | No | 13¢ | 1¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19? | Yes | 11¢ | 20¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 19? | Yes | 78¢ | 99¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 18? | Yes | 10¢ | 28¢ | +$41 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 17? | No | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 15? | Yes | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
Weather 100% +$96
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | St. Johns Red Storm | 29¢ | 0¢ | +$77 | win |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | Duke Blue Devils | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
Finance 100% +$23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Busan: Marat Sharipov vs Yasutaka Uchiyama | Marat Sharipov | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
Geopolitics 72% +$18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 79¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 75¢ | 76¢ | +$1 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | Yes | 80¢ | 98¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 4¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 91¢ | 94¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | No | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$2 | win |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 80¢ | 72¢ | $-2 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 59¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 33% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 85¢ | 84¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump say "Third term" in March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Mentions 20% $-16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
Other 57% $-28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | +$0 | win |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 60¢ | 55¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 84¢ | 82¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 96¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | No | 51¢ | 80¢ | +$4 | win |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 12¢ | 40¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | Yes | 85¢ | 85¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Barcelona Open: Ignacio Buse vs Corentin Moutet | Ignacio Buse | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
Esports 58% $-35
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Vitality | 74¢ | 74¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | FURIA | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Spirit | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Team Falcons | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Natus Vincere | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Aurora Gaming | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | Spirit | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | G2 | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blues vs. Utah | Utah | 48.7¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 17? | No | 19.9¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $36 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 20.2¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Kraken | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 26.3¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 24.1¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 17? | No | 45.8¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 15? | Yes | 41.3¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on April 15? | No | 60.3¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | FURIA | 67.5¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16? | No | 82.2¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16? | Up | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 15? | No | 85.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 51.8¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 16? | No | 63.9¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Canucks | Canucks | 41.6¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | $54 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 15? | No | 41.9¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $47 | 15/04/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Blues | 32.7¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $29 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | KT Rolster | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Jets vs. Utah | Utah | 72.4¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $60 | 15/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers | 76ers | 51.5¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | $26 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Wild | Wild | 67.5¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Spirit | 80.5¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Suns | 63.4¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Stars vs. Sabres | Sabres | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 82.0¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Avalanche vs. Flames | Flames | 41.8¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $31 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15? | Yes | 5.9¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | No | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Red Wings vs. Panthers | Red Wings | 62.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 82.0¢ | 92¢ | +$2 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 63.5¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Team Falcons | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Avalanche vs. Oilers | Avalanche | 57.8¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Natus Vincere | 79.8¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Aurora Gaming | 78.5¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Islanders | Islanders | 55.6¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | Spirit | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Canadiens vs. Flyers | Canadiens | 69.2¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Panthers | Panthers | 47.9¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers | Flyers | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $24 | 13/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | G2 | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Nuggets | 60.4¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $24 | 13/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | RED Canids | 4.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 13/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5) | 3DMAX | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Paulo Costa | 31.0¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $24 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims) | Cub Swanson | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $24 | 12/04/2026 |