Win rate
32.9%
23 W / 47 L
Total PnL
$-1
realized $-521 · unrealized $520
Portfolio
$520
volume $98,876
Predictions
115
29.1/day · avg $860
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 13/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 56% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton | Ben Shelton | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Barcelona Open: Jaume Munar vs Rafael Jodar | Rafael Jodar | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Esports 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | FURIA | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Spirit | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Economy 50% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Mentions 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Politics 18% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Crypto 50% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Elections 17% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 55% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | 99¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | win |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
Sports 25% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff | Karolina Muchova | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | Boston Red Sox | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros | Houston Astros | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox | Tampa Bay Rays | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jasmine Paolini | Zeynep Sonmez | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $59 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $79 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $80 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $61 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $81 | 17/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $860 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,533 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $75 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $51 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | FURIA | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $360 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $150 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | Dplus KIA Challengers | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) | G2 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Spirit | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $51 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner | GIANTX | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $75 | 13/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $487 | 18/04/2026 |
| BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton | Ben Shelton | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 20/04/2026 |
| Barcelona Open: Jaume Munar vs Rafael Jodar | Rafael Jodar | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 20/04/2026 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 20/04/2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $44 | 21/04/2026 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox | Tampa Bay Rays | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 21/04/2026 |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jasmine Paolini | Zeynep Sonmez | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 21/04/2026 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | Boston Red Sox | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $51 | 22/04/2026 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros | Houston Astros | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 22/04/2026 |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff | Karolina Muchova | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 24/04/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,797 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $51 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $125 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $1,023 | 29/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 97.1¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | $120 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $2,079 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 99.1¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $2,549 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? | No | 98.0¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $676 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $2,174 | 30/04/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,029 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | No | 98.4¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $403 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $103 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $41 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $401 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $98 | 30/04/2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | No | 97.9¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $21 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $359 | 30/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $1,020 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $2,059 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $1,721 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $178 | 01/05/2026 |