Jtrader

Geopolitics 49% +$1,746 $30,639 vol · 65 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	63¢	100¢	+$32	win
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	37¢	16¢	+$5	win
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	36¢	0¢	$-732	loss
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-75	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	71¢	78¢	+$157	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	34¢	30¢	+$105	win
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	38¢	26¢	$-118	loss
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	74¢	0¢	$-268	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	62¢	94¢	+$64	win
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	79¢	72¢	$-69	loss

Other 40% +$1,524 $17,169 vol · 63 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?	Yes	18¢	1¢	$-9	loss
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	4¢	4¢	$-1	loss
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?	No	41¢	94¢	$-155	loss
Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?	No	64¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	37¢	50¢	+$283	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	71¢	99¢	+$107	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	No	37¢	0¢	$-113	loss
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	No	66¢	100¢	+$64	win
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	No	61¢	0¢	$-244	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	Yes	25¢	0¢	+$43	win

Politics 49% +$627 $13,656 vol · 43 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	52¢	0¢	+$168	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-72	loss
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	79¢	40¢	$-5	loss
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	35¢	47¢	+$33	win
Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?	Yes	65¢	100¢	+$133	win
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?	Yes	25¢	100¢	+$120	win
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?	Yes	15¢	0¢	+$56	win
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	Yes	12¢	0¢	+$15	win
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	61¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-20	loss

Crypto 64% +$517 $4,087 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?	No	81¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	72¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	62¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 20?	Up	23¢	0¢	+$52	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 10AM ET	Up	51¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 1PM ET	Up	51¢	0¢	$-53	loss
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?	No	58¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in April?	Yes	31¢	0¢	+$61	win
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 7?	Down	50¢	100¢	+$297	win
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 6?	Down	61¢	100¢	+$6	win

Finance 50% +$325 $2,194 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$411	win
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$57	win
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-7	loss
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-136	loss

Tech 100% +$249 $368 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	30¢	100¢	+$126	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	25¢	100¢	+$3	win
OpenAI browser by October 31?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$52	win

Esports 50% +$7 $125 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5	Under	48¢	0¢	$-58	loss
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5	Under	48¢	100¢	+$65	win

Culture 0% $-203 $203 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-203	loss

Economy 0% $-230 $327 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-105	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	51¢	0¢	$-70	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?	Yes	44¢	0¢	$-55	loss

Elections 56% $-484 $2,821 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	17¢	17¢	+$13	win
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	35¢	52¢	+$1	win
Another Canada election called by June 30?	Yes	12¢	5¢	$-28	loss
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	53¢	66¢	+$30	win
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?	No	67¢	0¢	$-495	loss
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	Yes	67¢	100¢	+$72	win
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?	No	44¢	100¢	+$128	win
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-34	loss
Canada election called before April?	No	23¢	0¢	$-171	loss

Sports 48% $-2,673 $19,636 vol · 181 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	77¢	77¢	$-2	loss
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	5¢	4¢	$-7	loss
Bruins vs. Flyers	Bruins	25¢	0¢	$-52	loss
Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	65¢	100¢	+$53	win
Devils vs. Rangers	Rangers	47¢	100¢	+$45	win
Mavericks vs. Bucks	Bucks	49¢	100¢	+$1	win
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5	Over	54¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Red Wings vs. Penguins	Red Wings	50¢	0¢	$-200	loss
Avalanche vs. Penguins	Avalanche	59¢	100¢	+$35	win
Pacers vs. Magic	Pacers	71¢	100¢	+$59	win