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0x47e3172d8745613AfB9B21be55619eaf5261F6B7-1776189744200
0x47e3172d8745613afb9b21be55619eaf5261f6b7 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
80.0%
28 W / 7 L
Total PnL
$221
realized $-5,397 · unrealized $5,619
Portfolio
$5,619
volume $10,545
Predictions
38
12.3/day · avg $278
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 14/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 79% +$109
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 68¢ | 78¢ | +$46 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 81¢ | 84¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$3 | win |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 79¢ | 69¢ | $-18 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 57¢ | 74¢ | +$14 | win |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | No | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30? | No | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$3 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$13 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Other 69% +$63
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 82¢ | 87¢ | +$11 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 75¢ | 78¢ | +$12 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 77¢ | 52¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | No | 81¢ | 45¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | No | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | No | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$6 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 36¢ | 52¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 75¢ | 91¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month? | Yes | 71¢ | 64¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19? | No | 81¢ | 94¢ | +$2 | win |
Politics 100% +$45
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | Yes | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$4 | win |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Recent Trades (35)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $258 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $397 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 89.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $376 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | No | 98.7¢ | 98¢ | $-7 | $592 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 86.6¢ | 91¢ | +$4 | $87 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Kanye" or "West" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $196 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30? | No | 90.8¢ | 89¢ | $-2 | $99 | 31/03/2026 |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026? | No | 82.5¢ | 76¢ | $-9 | $213 | 14/03/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | No | 92.5¢ | 99¢ | +$12 | $185 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19? | No | 81.4¢ | 94¢ | +$2 | $24 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026? | No | 88.0¢ | 92¢ | +$4 | $88 | 21/04/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | No | 93.2¢ | 97¢ | +$33 | $1,062 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | No | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $670 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | No | 92.1¢ | 94¢ | +$14 | $548 | 30/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 93.4¢ | 97¢ | +$13 | $336 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30? | No | 94.3¢ | 95¢ | +$3 | $283 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | No | 90.0¢ | 96¢ | +$13 | $215 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | No | 94.5¢ | 98¢ | +$7 | $189 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | No | 92.0¢ | 98¢ | +$6 | $92 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | No | 91.7¢ | 95¢ | +$2 | $55 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 52¢ | +$24 | $36 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 63.9¢ | 70¢ | +$9 | $38 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 75.0¢ | 91¢ | +$5 | $23 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month? | Yes | 71.0¢ | 64¢ | $-2 | $21 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 77.0¢ | 52¢ | $-6 | $154 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | No | 81.0¢ | 45¢ | $-10 | $24 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | No | 96.0¢ | 97¢ | +$3 | $253 | 31/05/2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 78.6¢ | 69¢ | $-18 | $173 | 31/05/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 74.6¢ | 78¢ | +$12 | $98 | 31/05/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 57.0¢ | 74¢ | +$14 | $51 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 84.0¢ | 94¢ | +$3 | $25 | 31/05/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | Yes | 83.0¢ | 88¢ | +$6 | $97 | 30/06/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 82.5¢ | 87¢ | +$11 | $124 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 68.3¢ | 78¢ | +$46 | $337 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 81.2¢ | 84¢ | +$10 | $349 | 31/12/2026 |