perseo

Other 65% +$2,793 $17,828 vol · 56 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	72¢	93¢	+$146	win
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	38¢	42¢	+$11	win
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	64¢	62¢	$-8	loss
GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	27¢	99¢	+$63	win
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	90¢	97¢	+$43	win
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	85¢	98¢	+$45	win
Nothing Ever Happens: April	Nothing	59¢	72¢	+$42	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	66¢	76¢	+$16	win
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-22?	Yes	25¢	24¢	$-2	loss
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?	Yes	38¢	38¢	$-1	loss

Geopolitics 57% +$608 $2,698 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	87¢	88¢	+$3	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	31¢	34¢	+$11	win
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	37¢	33¢	$-11	loss
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$53	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$135	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	80¢	80¢	+$2	win
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	Yes	15¢	100¢	+$550	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-98	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	25¢	100¢	+$20	win
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?	No	89¢	100¢	$-2	loss

Economy 43% +$476 $2,714 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	20¢	13¢	$-34	loss
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-100	loss
US recession in 2025?	No	68¢	100¢	+$474	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$251	win
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?	No	85¢	100¢	+$35	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-100	loss

Elections 100% +$282 $800 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Spain snap election called in 2025?	Yes	35¢	0¢	+$59	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$53	win
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?	No	37¢	100¢	+$170	win

Finance 67% +$31 $428 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	37¢	44¢	+$22	win
ECB rate hike in 2026?	No	26¢	36¢	+$11	win
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	88¢	88¢	$-2	loss

Culture 100% +$18 $200 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	65¢	0¢	+$18	win

Mentions 0% $-43 $50 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the new Pope tweet from his personal account this month?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-43	loss

Tech 0% $-50 $50 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-50	loss

Sports 45% $-864 $11,433 vol · 44 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Alexander Volkov become UFC champion in 2026?	No	80¢	54¢	$-20	loss
NBA to pass Luka Doncic’s “Extraordinary Circumstances Challenge”?	No	26¢	0¢	$-81	loss
UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)	Aaron Pico	72¢	100¢	+$39	win
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	73¢	0¢	$-504	loss
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2025?	No	95¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will there be a red flag during the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?	No	83¢	100¢	+$33	win
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$90	win
Will Red Bull Racing finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?	Yes	10¢	0¢	+$3	win

Crypto 44% $-1,685 $2,725 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	59¢	34¢	$-60	loss
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	60¢	35¢	$-42	loss
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	40¢	49¢	+$6	win
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,400 on January 8?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	+$12	win
BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-1,500	loss
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 17-23?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 3-9?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$5	win

Politics 42% $-2,816 $8,354 vol · 39 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	68¢	100¢	+$94	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	20¢	8¢	$-40	loss
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	65¢	0¢	$-1,626	loss
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	82¢	91¢	+$34	win
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?	Yes	27¢	22¢	$-41	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	84¢	100¢	+$57	win
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will Trump attend UFC 325?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-51	loss