hedgetrimma

Crypto 46% +$14,568 $42,620 vol · 78 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Base launch a token in 2025?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-244	loss
Ethereum all time high before 2026?	No	8¢	0¢	+$637	win
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-95	loss
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-975	loss
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?	Yes	15¢	0¢	+$27	win
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	11¢	0¢	$-70	loss
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 8?	No	34¢	100¢	+$660	win
Ethereum Up or Down on October 7?	Down	30¢	100¢	+$1,033	win
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	28¢	100¢	+$952	win
Solana Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Down	55¢	100¢	+$113	win

Other 21% +$4,654 $191,569 vol · 52 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	No	5¢	0¢	$-287	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	27¢	55¢	+$27,153	win
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-5,110	loss
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?	No	22¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	No	25¢	0¢	$-319	loss
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?	No	7¢	0¢	$-454	loss
WLFI market cap (FDV) >$16B one day after launch?	No	41¢	0¢	$-14,589	loss
WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?	No	41¢	0¢	$-17,198	loss
Will Arch Manning win the Heisman Trophy?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-346	loss
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?	No	30¢	100¢	+$710	win

Sports 30% +$88 $13,265 vol · 33 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Baker Mayfield win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?	Yes	9¢	0¢	+$13	win
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-53	loss
Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?	No	24¢	0¢	$-321	loss
Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-256	loss
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?	Yes	31¢	0¢	+$44	win
Packers vs. Lions	Lions	59¢	0¢	$-953	loss
Giants vs. Broncos	Giants	24¢	0¢	+$1	win
Commanders vs. Cowboys	Cowboys	48¢	100¢	$-12	loss
Steelers vs. Bengals	Bengals	20¢	100¢	+$115	win

Finance 50% $-144 $980 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	No	25¢	100¢	+$290	win
Will Silvergate announce it is filing for bankruptcy by March 31, 2023?	Yes	48¢	0¢	$-434	loss

Economy 0% $-1,096 $1,096 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-375	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-340	loss
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-317	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-64	loss

Elections 0% $-6,381 $7,772 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-5,022	loss
Kamala photographed with a gun before the election?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Trump mention $MAGA before Election?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-249	loss
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-1,076	loss

Geopolitics 0% $-6,571 $15,892 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	9¢	3¢	$-619	loss
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	5¢	0¢	$-5,591	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	5¢	1¢	$-361	loss

Politics 27% $-9,658 $14,619 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-64	loss
Trump out as President in 2025?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-2,608	loss
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-5,741	loss
Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires Bitcoin before July?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-140	loss
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?	No	62¢	100¢	+$132	win
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?	Yes	10¢	0¢	+$110	win
Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-740	loss
Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?	No	52¢	100¢	+$558	win
Will Biden pardon SBF?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-173	loss
Will Biden finish his term?	No	43¢	0¢	$-262	loss