Win rate
65.2%
45 W / 24 L
Total PnL
$-26
realized $-687 · unrealized $662
Portfolio
$662
volume $32,735
Predictions
110
2.0/day · avg $298
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 01/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 73% +$128
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 77¢ | 99¢ | +$116 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 85¢ | 99¢ | +$37 | win |
| Another US bank failure by March 31? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Critical Discord Incident by March 31, 2026? | No | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-226 | loss |
| Another US bank failure by February 28? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$87 | win |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 70% +$120
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 65¢ | 30¢ | $-10 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 56¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Iran strike on US military by February 28? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 67% +$32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Finland record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 0% $-51
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | Up | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
Politics 60% $-98
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 8, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-113 | loss |
Elections 29% $-148
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 45¢ | 66¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 92¢ | 75¢ | $-11 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 93.9¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $293 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 77.4¢ | 99¢ | +$116 | $430 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 85.0¢ | 99¢ | +$37 | $217 | 12/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 8, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $200 | 08/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 88.3¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $118 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31? | No | 82.9¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | $507 | 31/03/2026 |
| Another US bank failure by March 31? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $293 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? | Yes | 91.5¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $204 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026? | No | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $394 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 85.1¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $63 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $132 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $81 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 90.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $22 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $46 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $114 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026? | No | 73.8¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $275 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $191 | 31/03/2026 |
| Critical Discord Incident by March 31, 2026? | No | 75.4¢ | 0¢ | $-226 | $323 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | No | 91.3¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $291 | 15/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | Up | 12.8¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $51 | 15/03/2026 |
| Another US bank failure by February 28? | No | 87.2¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $234 | 28/02/2026 |
| Iran strike on US military by February 28? | Yes | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Finland record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 86.2¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $128 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 88.3¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $121 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $62 | 22/02/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026? | Yes | 92.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $45 | 13/02/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? | No | 10.7¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 13/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $100 | 05/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? | Yes | 14.3¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 01/02/2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Yes | 78.9¢ | 100¢ | +$87 | $339 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $92 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $136 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $147 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $202 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026? | No | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $261 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $133 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $302 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $147 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $131 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $300 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $131 | 31/01/2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | No | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $100 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $263 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | No | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $56 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $40 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | $-113 | $113 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $101 | 09/01/2026 |