Win rate
33.3%
5 W / 10 L
Total PnL
$2,022
realized $-3,589 · unrealized $5,611
Portfolio
$5,611
volume $135,328
Predictions
20
0.5/day · avg $6,766
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 28/12/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 62% +$2,636
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | No | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-2,078 | loss |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | No | 31¢ | 24¢ | $-47 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | No | 34¢ | 27¢ | $-244 | loss |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 46¢ | 63¢ | +$683 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$4,154 | win |
Weather 0% $-111
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the December 2024 temperature increase be greater than 1.34°C? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
Other 0% $-334
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-287 | loss |
| Global heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
Politics 0% $-524
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | No | 55¢ | 53¢ | $-95 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | No | 20¢ | 12¢ | $-428 | loss |
Recent Trades (15)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 51.3¢ | 100¢ | +$4,154 | $4,382 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | No | 20.5¢ | 12¢ | $-428 | $1,800 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $-287 | $287 | 30/06/2025 |
| Global heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024? | Yes | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $35 | 31/12/2024 |
| Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.30-1.34°C? | Yes | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 31/12/2024 |
| Will the December 2024 temperature increase be greater than 1.34°C? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 31/12/2024 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 87.3¢ | 94¢ | +$147 | $5,406 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | No | 26.6¢ | 26¢ | +$12 | $1,227 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 46.2¢ | 63¢ | +$683 | $1,861 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | No | 55.1¢ | 53¢ | $-95 | $2,098 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | No | 13.9¢ | 14¢ | +$9 | $42 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | No | 30.6¢ | 24¢ | $-47 | $306 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | No | 34.0¢ | 27¢ | $-244 | $340 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | No | 14.9¢ | 0¢ | $-2,078 | $2,234 | 30/06/2026 |