Win rate
61.5%
411 W / 257 L
Total PnL
$2,021
realized $1,167 · unrealized $854
Portfolio
$854
volume $108,032
Predictions
3,576
491.7/day · avg $30
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Mentions 39% +$84
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | -1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | Yes | -6¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 47¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be 3.7% or higher? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Finance 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 91¢ | 90¢ | $-0 | loss |
Politics 43% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gregg Poole be the Republican nominee for GA-09? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Holly Adams be the Republican nominee for OH-01? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? | Yes | 70¢ | 66¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 80¢ | 78¢ | $-0 | loss |
Crypto 92% $-12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 13? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 10? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on April 10? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 10? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 10? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 10? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 9? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Other 56% $-23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1? | Yes | -3¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting? | No | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting? | Yes | 91¢ | 81¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting? | No | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April? | Yes | 67¢ | 68¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting? | No | 10¢ | 5¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 15, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 5, 2026? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 27% $-35
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026? | Yes | 75¢ | 72¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will "Big Mistakes: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "XO, Kitty: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m? | No | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m? | Yes | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
Elections 40% $-112
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? | No | 75¢ | 75¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 80¢ | 74¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary? | Yes | 70¢ | 76¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Harman Bhangu win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | No | 50¢ | 40¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will GERB-SDS (GERB–SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
Weather 65% $-200
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 17? | Yes | -1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on April 17? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on April 16? | Yes | -1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 16? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 16? | Yes | -1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on April 16? | Yes | -1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on April 16? | Yes | -1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 16? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on April 16? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 39°C or higher on April 16? | Yes | -1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.9¢ | 0¢ | +$8 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.5¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C or below on April 17? | Yes | -0.5¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 17? | Yes | -0.5¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on April 17? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on April 16? | Yes | -0.5¢ | 0¢ | +$17 | $34 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 16? | Yes | 86.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $27 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on April 16? | Yes | -1.4¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $40 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 16? | Yes | -1.4¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $40 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 16? | Yes | -1.4¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $40 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 16? | Yes | -1.4¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $40 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or below on April 16? | Yes | -1.4¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $40 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on April 16? | Yes | -0.6¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 16? | Yes | -0.6¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 16? | Yes | -0.6¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 16? | Yes | -1.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $33 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 59°F or below on April 16? | Yes | -1.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $33 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on April 16? | Yes | -1.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $33 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on April 16? | Yes | -1.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $33 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 16? | Yes | -1.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $33 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 41°F or below on April 16? | Yes | -1.1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $227 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on April 16? | Yes | -1.1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $227 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 16? | Yes | -0.6¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on April 16? | Yes | -1.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $23 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on April 16? | Yes | -0.1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $41 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 55°F or below on April 16? | Yes | -0.1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $41 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on April 16? | Yes | -0.1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $41 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on April 16? | Yes | -0.1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $41 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 56-57°F on April 16? | Yes | -0.1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $41 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 16? | Yes | -0.1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $41 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on April 16? | Yes | -0.5¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $35 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on April 16? | Yes | -0.5¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $37 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 39°C or higher on April 16? | Yes | -0.6¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $22 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 16? | Yes | -1.1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $20 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C or below on April 16? | Yes | -1.1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $20 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C or higher on April 16? | Yes | -0.5¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $20 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on April 16? | Yes | -0.5¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $20 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 10, 2026? | No | 89.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or higher on April 16? | Yes | -0.2¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on April 16? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 6, 2026? | Yes | -0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $42 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 9, 2026? | Yes | -0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $42 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 8, 2026? | Yes | -0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $42 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 7, 2026? | Yes | -0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $42 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 4, 2026? | Yes | -0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $42 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 3, 2026? | Yes | -0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $42 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 5, 2026? | Yes | -0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $42 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will none of the eaglets hatch before April 17? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on April 16? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42 | 16/04/2026 |