Vane

Other 74% +$352 $11,953 vol · 105 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	39¢	0¢	+$14	win
HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	88¢	100¢	$-74	loss
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	84¢	82¢	$-1	loss
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	69¢	100¢	$-17	loss
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	89¢	89¢	+$0	win
Credit One Charleston Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Lulu Sun	Yulia Putintseva	96¢	100¢	+$0	win
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula	Elena Rybakina	87¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	Yes	93¢	0¢	$-53	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	No	62¢	0¢	$-24	loss

Geopolitics 76% +$37 $2,936 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	47¢	72¢	+$11	win
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	70¢	96¢	+$2	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	73¢	73¢	$-0	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	5¢	0¢	$-47	loss
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	No	85¢	100¢	+$36	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-12	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	No	97¢	100¢	+$4	win

Sports 92% +$32 $389 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Warriors vs. Celtics	Celtics	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks	Cavaliers	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)	Jazz	90¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Hornets vs. Suns	Suns	82¢	100¢	+$8	win
Oilers vs. Golden Knights	Oilers	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)	Clippers	96¢	100¢	+$3	win
Devils vs. Blues	Devils	92¢	100¢	+$3	win
Celtics vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	91¢	100¢	+$3	win
Buccaneers vs. Seahawks	Buccaneers	68¢	100¢	+$10	win
Texans vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	79¢	100¢	+$6	win

Esports 100% +$13 $130 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A	Team Falcons	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group A	G2 Esports	90¢	100¢	+$3	win
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs	G2 Esports	80¢	100¢	+$9	win

Tech 75% +$5 $508 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on February 23?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	20¢	100¢	+$10	win
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?	No	94¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	62¢	100¢	+$44	win
Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-48	loss
OpenAI Sora public release in 2024?	Yes	94¢	100¢	$-8	loss

Elections 67% +$5 $184 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	Yes	56¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will John Mahama be the next President of Ghana?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$2	win

Finance 50% +$4 $150 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	83¢	100¢	$-9	loss
$MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$13	win

Mentions 20% $-35 $1,291 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?	Yes	98¢	100¢	$-26	loss
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	$-68	loss

Politics 57% $-174 $1,785 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?	No	56¢	0¢	$-60	loss
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-101	loss
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?	No	98¢	100¢	+$4	win
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	No	29¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will $Trump FDV be $30-35b on Feb 1?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?	Yes	72¢	0¢	$-44	loss
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?	Yes	51¢	0¢	$-27	loss

Crypto 78% $-445 $24,281 vol · 192 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	28¢	34¢	+$52	win
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	22¢	18¢	$-12	loss
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by April 30?	No	50¢	96¢	+$11	win
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	No	90¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Solana reach $100 in March?	Yes	37¢	0¢	+$5	win
Will Solana reach $110 in March?	No	92¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will XRP reach $1.60 in March?	No	35¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on March 30?	No	93¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 23-29?	No	97¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 30?	No	97¢	100¢	+$2	win