Murilinbala02

Other 85% +$166 $2,674 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	39¢	46¢	+$7	win
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	83¢	43¢	+$0	win
Will Jonas Sulzbach win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	82¢	100¢	+$52	win
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	35¢	34¢	$-46	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	70¢	76¢	+$30	win
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	78¢	90¢	+$15	win
Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	94¢	94¢	+$0	—
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	86¢	94¢	+$95	win
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-18?	Yes	97¢	99¢	+$3	win

Geopolitics 100% +$28 $366 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$5	win
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	92¢	100¢	+$23	win

Sports 62% $-76 $700 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	88¢	89¢	+$1	win
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	71¢	70¢	$-2	loss
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova	Karolina Muchova	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Los Angeles Dodgers	79¢	0¢	$-80	loss
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox	Milwaukee Brewers	15¢	0¢	$-24	loss
76ers vs. Spurs	Spurs	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$23	win

Culture 50% $-83 $839 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$103	win
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	56¢	100¢	+$81	win
Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$39	win
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-37	loss
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	58¢	0¢	$-56	loss
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	76¢	0¢	$-75	loss
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-93	loss
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	80¢	0¢	$-93	loss

Elections 62% $-171 $733 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	65¢	66¢	+$6	win
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	48¢	34¢	$-8	loss
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	40¢	44¢	+$1	win
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	86¢	80¢	$-0	loss
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	14¢	66¢	+$56	win
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	90¢	77¢	+$3	win
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	84¢	91¢	+$1	win