Win rate
84.6%
33 W / 6 L
Total PnL
$575
realized $-1,808 · unrealized $2,383
Portfolio
$2,383
volume $12,200
Predictions
40
0.8/day · avg $305
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 13/09/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 83% +$453
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 82¢ | 82¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | No | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? | No | 51¢ | 82¢ | +$63 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 77¢ | 50¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March? | No | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Palantir reach $174 in February? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
| Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
Politics 100% +$77
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by October 31? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
Geopolitics 84% +$67
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | 33¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 45¢ | 30¢ | $-155 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$11 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | No | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$6 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 68¢ | 60¢ | $-16 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
Recent Trades (39)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | $61 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 82.7¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $83 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $84 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $87 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $196 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March? | No | 34.2¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Palantir reach $174 in February? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $147 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $243 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of February? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $261 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $164 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $188 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $368 | 09/01/2026 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | $332 | 31/12/2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $940 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | No | 94.3¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $943 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025? | No | 88.2¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $353 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025? | Yes | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $964 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $970 | 31/12/2025 |
| NATO article 5 in 2025? | No | 94.2¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $94 | 31/12/2025 |
| US x China tariff agreement by November 10? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $176 | 10/11/2025 |
| Will Trump visit China by October 31? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $470 | 31/10/2025 |
| Russian strike on Poland by September 30? | No | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $96 | 30/09/2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 93.7¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $281 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 67.5¢ | 60¢ | $-16 | $135 | 22/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 94.0¢ | 99¢ | +$10 | $188 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | No | 88.0¢ | 94¢ | +$6 | $88 | 30/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 96.0¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | $96 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $64 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $95 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 77.0¢ | 50¢ | $-28 | $77 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? | No | 83.7¢ | 95¢ | +$33 | $251 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | No | 65.5¢ | 86¢ | +$62 | $196 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? | No | 62.0¢ | 94¢ | +$63 | $124 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? | No | 51.0¢ | 82¢ | +$63 | $102 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | No | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 30/06/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 30¢ | $-155 | $450 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 82.0¢ | 82¢ | +$3 | $492 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 86.0¢ | 91¢ | +$11 | $172 | 31/12/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $33 | 31/12/2026 |