Win rate
96.0%
311 W / 13 L
Total PnL
$2,185
realized $-184 · unrealized $2,369
Portfolio
$2,369
volume $126,621
Predictions
437
8.6/day · avg $290
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 18/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Culture 99% +$1,535
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Anaconda" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will "Thrash" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will "Love on the Spectrum: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "Ms. Rachel: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will "The Bad Guys 2" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "The Bad Guys 2" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will "The Bad Guys 2" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$221
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 15? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Iran strike Ukraine by March 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will “The Diplomat” be the top global Netflix show this week? (October 28) | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
Other 98% +$194
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by March 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | win |
| Tucker Carlson federally charged? | No | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$10 | win |
| Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31? | No | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the number of US flights delayed on April 12 be between 6,000 and 6,500? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the number of US flights delayed on April 10 be less than 4,000? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the number of US flights delayed on April 9 be less than 3,000? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the number of US flights delayed on April 7 be between 4,500 and 5,000? | Yes | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Crypto 100% +$144
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will "Prometheus" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | win |
| Will "Prometheus" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will "Prometheus" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Politics 100% +$55
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17? | No | 85¢ | 99¢ | +$54 | win |
| Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Tech 100% +$36
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Die With A Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the #1 searched song on Google this year? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | +$13 | win |
Sports 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "MLB Opening Night: Yankees vs. Giants" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 76% $-42
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Charles Hittler be the next mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Catherine Trautmann be the next mayor of Strasbourg? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Annie Soucat be the next mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Catherine Trautmann be the next mayor of Strasbourg? | No | 96¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
Weather 83% $-89
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on April 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 18? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 17? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 51°F or below on April 17? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on April 16? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on April 16? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on April 16? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 16? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 17? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $437 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 17? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $293 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 17? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $158 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 17? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $147 | 17/04/2026 |
| Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17? | No | 85.3¢ | 99¢ | +$54 | $469 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 17? | No | 97.4¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | $129 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 51°F or below on April 17? | No | 96.5¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | $67 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on April 16? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $292 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 16? | No | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $193 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 16? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $76 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 16? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $198 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on April 16? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $82 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on April 16? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 16? | No | 76.5¢ | 0¢ | $-159 | $160 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on April 16? | No | 91.4¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | $61 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 15? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $222 | 15/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 15? | Yes | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $112 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C or below on April 15? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $294 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on April 15? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $69 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will "Thrash" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | No | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $29 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $202 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 83.7¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $93 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will "Anaconda" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $135 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will "Thrash" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | No | 94.1¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $131 | 14/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 14? | Yes | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $157 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will "Love on the Spectrum: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $45 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $298 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? | No | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $379 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $474 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $674 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $870 | 12/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 12? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $127 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the number of US flights delayed on April 12 be between 6,000 and 6,500? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $69 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $21 | 12/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11? | Yes | 91.6¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $488 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the number of US flights delayed on April 10 be between 4,500 and 5,000? | No | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $189 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the number of US flights delayed on April 10 be between 4,000 and 4,500? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $989 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the number of US flights delayed on April 10 be less than 4,000? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $538 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the number of US flights delayed on April 9 be less than 3,000? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $366 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week? | No | 90.1¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | $1,019 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $219 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 88.8¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $316 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | No | 88.8¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $240 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the number of US flights delayed on April 7 be between 4,500 and 5,000? | Yes | 78.2¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $54 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will "Anaconda" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | No | 69.3¢ | 0¢ | +$14 | $208 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the number of US flights delayed on April 7 be between 5,500 and 6,000? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $113 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will "Raw: 2026 - March 23, 2026" be the top global Netflix show this week? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $217 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will "Beauty in Black: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $261 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will "War Machine" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $109 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will "Sisu: Road to Revenge" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $184 | 07/04/2026 |