Win rate
86.1%
93 W / 15 L
Total PnL
$31,989
realized $11,527 · unrealized $20,462
Portfolio
$20,462
volume $144,518,978
Predictions
120
3.9/day · avg $1,204,325
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 97% +$15,773
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$164 | win |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Elections 94% +$6,681
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-252 | loss |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 0¢ | 1¢ | +$49 | win |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0¢ | 2¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
Other 86% +$3,709
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$155 | win |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$100 | win |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-310 | loss |
| Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | loss |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$447 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$160 | win |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
Economy 75% +$3,232
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-347 | loss |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$161 | win |
Geopolitics 62% +$3,120
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$120 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-801 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$441 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,495 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$996 | win |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$276 | win |
Crypto 100% +$197
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$197 | win |
Tech 100% +$63
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$63 | win |
Politics 29% $-247
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-506 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $-801 | $15,382 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$197 | $1,035 | 01/04/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$447 | $3,079 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | +$441 | $893 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | +$160 | $323 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | +$63 | $130 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $60 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $900 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $-1,495 | $1,500 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | +$3,168 | $10,677 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | +$250 | $2,656 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | +$161 | $3,333 | 18/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | +$996 | $996 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | No | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | +$276 | $935 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $776 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $-347 | $5,442 | 29/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | +$3,612 | $64,576 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | +$958 | $2,095 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | +$19 | $1,858 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | +$511 | $1,637 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$454 | $992 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | +$338 | $1,892 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | +$333 | $1,303 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | +$234 | $937 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$189 | $742 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$170 | $1,898 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | +$18 | $66 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$14 | $41 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 1¢ | +$11 | $53 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 1¢ | +$6 | $31 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $247 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | $1,512 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$170 | $450 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $400 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $-310 | $600 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | +$100 | $200 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | +$200 | $1,118 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$172 | $725 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | +$314 | $889 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | +$236 | $944 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | +$196 | $971 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$164 | $368 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | +$147 | $587 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$113 | $229 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | $658 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $476 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 1¢ | +$650 | $5,157 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | +$921 | $4,549 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | +$1,610 | $5,986 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | +$1,137 | $2,988 | 01/07/2026 |