Win rate
60.4%
267 W / 175 L
Total PnL
$14,574
realized $11,074 · unrealized $3,500
Portfolio
$3,500
volume $1,754,036
Predictions
694
4.1/day · avg $2,527
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 29/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Mentions 65% +$14,443
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 81¢ | 80¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 24¢ | 26¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 63¢ | 0¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 0¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | No | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 51¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | No | 22¢ | 0¢ | +$22 | win |
Sports 100% +$796
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days? | No | 26¢ | 0¢ | +$497 | win |
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$299 | win |
Elections 50% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 19¢ | $-1,094 | loss |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50¢ | 81¢ | +$1,094 | win |
Geopolitics 0% $-20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike Gaza on October 30? | No | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
Other 41% $-1,520
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch? | No | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | No | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1? | Yes | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | loss |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1? | No | 51¢ | 100¢ | $-217 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | $-79 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $380 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 24.0¢ | 26¢ | +$20 | $120 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | +$17 | $339 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 92.0¢ | 0¢ | +$25 | $1,321 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 22.5¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $131 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | No | 21.6¢ | 0¢ | +$127 | $679 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | No | 67.5¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $1,350 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $1,450 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 83.5¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $1,670 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | $3,394 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $70 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $84 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | Yes | 31.4¢ | 0¢ | +$27 | $240 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | No | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | +$22 | $202 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 32.0¢ | 100¢ | +$179 | $740 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | No | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $132 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 57.6¢ | 100¢ | +$781 | $2,849 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 56.8¢ | 0¢ | +$179 | $852 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 66.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $610 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-156 | $61 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 80.8¢ | 100¢ | $-365 | $1,387 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 42.2¢ | 0¢ | $-627 | $845 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 79.1¢ | 100¢ | +$984 | $6,154 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$162 | $5,850 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 54.7¢ | 100¢ | +$129 | $2,139 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | Yes | 13.9¢ | 0¢ | +$108 | $559 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 56.1¢ | 0¢ | +$103 | $1,062 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.8¢ | 0¢ | +$68 | $631 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | +$63 | $368 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 62.2¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $292 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | No | 20.8¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $248 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | +$22 | $52 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | No | 71.1¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | $284 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | Yes | 57.5¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $422 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $840 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? | Yes | 5.8¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $26 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 74.3¢ | 100¢ | $-27 | $2,601 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1? | Yes | 73.6¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | $397 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | $83 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | $-79 | $2,125 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1? | No | 51.4¢ | 100¢ | $-217 | $1,055 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | No | 84.8¢ | 100¢ | +$119 | $1,538 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $492 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | +$19 | $160 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | No | 41.3¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | $3,095 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | No | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $2,337 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | Yes | 28.9¢ | 0¢ | +$24 | $820 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | No | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | $1,092 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 19.5¢ | 0¢ | +$51 | $533 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 83.8¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $1,257 | 27/03/2026 |