Win rate
38.2%
414 W / 669 L
Total PnL
$-71,409
realized $-74,291 · unrealized $2,882
Portfolio
$2,882
volume $6,702,550
Predictions
1,211
1.6/day · avg $5,535
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 25/10/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 34% +$22,173
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls vs. Mavericks | Bulls | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | loss |
| Suns vs. Lakers | Lakers | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$255 | win |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Lakers | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | win |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Spurs | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$133 | win |
| Celtics vs. Knicks | Celtics | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Hawks vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$200 | win |
| Rockets vs. Suns | Rockets | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$192 | win |
| Bucks vs. Nets | Bucks | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Raptors vs. Grizzlies | Grizzlies | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Jazz vs. Rockets | Jazz | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Tech 100% +$1,300
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference? | Yes | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$1,300 | win |
Elections 0% $-200
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
Esports 20% $-546
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B | BC.Game Esports | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stage | Nemiga | 51¢ | 50¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | Liquid | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3) | FaZe | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$248 | win |
| Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA (BO3) | fnatic | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-705 | loss |
Mentions 11% $-1,337
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-114 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? | Yes | 57¢ | 100¢ | $-136 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet between 240 and 259 times September 5–12? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet 200–224 times June 6–13? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 21-28? | Yes | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-1,200 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28? | Yes | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$822 | win |
Politics 0% $-4,302
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | No | 57¢ | 55¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025? | Yes | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | Yes | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-1,703 | loss |
| Will Trump make English the national language? | Yes | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | loss |
| Trump releases Epstein list today? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-630 | loss |
| Trump releases Epstein list today? | Yes | 53¢ | 100¢ | $-736 | loss |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 8? | No | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-294 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Nazi" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29? | Yes | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | No | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-700 | loss |
Geopolitics 35% $-12,604
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 35¢ | 0¢ | +$1,180 | win |
| Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-2,747 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | 63¢ | 100¢ | $-868 | loss |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-10,025 | loss |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15? | No | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-16? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | +$1,160 | win |
| US military action against Iran before July? | No | 26¢ | 0¢ | +$167 | win |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,213 | loss |
Economy 0% $-16,032
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-250 | loss |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-8,233 | loss |
| Will Powell say "Recession" during September press conference? | Yes | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-5,514 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-778 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-497 | loss |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Other 37% $-28,807
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-325 | loss |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | loss |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$319 | win |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18? | No | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-700 | loss |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-3,351 | loss |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | loss |
| Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-442 | loss |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17? | No | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | loss |
Crypto 46% $-32,515
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10AM ET | Up | 26¢ | 100¢ | +$1,772 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11AM ET | Up | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10AM ET | Up | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-473 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10AM ET | Up | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$220 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11AM ET | Up | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7AM ET | Down | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-116 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10AM ET | Down | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$682 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8AM ET | Up | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7PM ET | Up | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$1,016 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9PM ET | Down | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$103 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10AM ET | Up | 26.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,772 | $650 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11AM ET | Up | 46.9¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10AM ET | Up | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | $-473 | $504 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10AM ET | Up | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$220 | $180 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11AM ET | Up | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | $100 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7AM ET | Down | 34.4¢ | 0¢ | $-116 | $120 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Mavericks | Bulls | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $100 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10AM ET | Down | 34.3¢ | 100¢ | +$682 | $395 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8AM ET | Up | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Lakers | Lakers | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$255 | $200 | 11/04/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Lakers | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | $100 | 10/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Spurs | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$133 | $200 | 09/04/2026 |
| Celtics vs. Knicks | Celtics | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 09/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7PM ET | Up | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,016 | $856 | 08/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$200 | $300 | 08/04/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Suns | Rockets | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$192 | $200 | 08/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9PM ET | Down | 49.3¢ | 100¢ | +$103 | $100 | 08/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8PM ET | Up | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-188 | $188 | 08/04/2026 |
| Bucks vs. Nets | Bucks | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 07/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8PM ET | Up | 46.8¢ | 100¢ | +$342 | $300 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5PM ET | Up | 13.6¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | $300 | 05/04/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Grizzlies | Grizzlies | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 04/04/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Rockets | Jazz | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 04/04/2026 |
| Celtics vs. Bucks | Bucks | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 04/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Nets | Nets | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 03/04/2026 |
| Pacers vs. Hornets | Pacers | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 03/04/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks | Bulls | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 03/04/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Yes | 5.7¢ | 0¢ | +$18 | $1,000 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | Yes | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | $300 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $-2,747 | $2,964 | 31/03/2026 |
| Heat vs. Pacers | Pacers | 26.7¢ | 100¢ | +$825 | $300 | 29/03/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Thunder | Bulls | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 28/03/2026 |
| Nets vs. Lakers | Nets | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 28/03/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Suns | Suns | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 25/03/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves | Trail Blazers | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$476 | $495 | 21/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11AM ET | Down | 52.7¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$319 | $500 | 18/03/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Nuggets | 76ers | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18? | No | 23.5¢ | 0¢ | $-700 | $700 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 9.3¢ | 0¢ | $-3,351 | $3,351 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17? | Yes | 16.7¢ | 100¢ | +$704 | $500 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | +$77 | $200 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17? | Yes | 59.4¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | $200 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | $100 | 17/03/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Wizards | Wizards | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 17/03/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Pelicans | Mavericks | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | $-157 | $250 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-442 | $442 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17? | No | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-15? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1,023 | $1,023 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$800 | $800 | 15/03/2026 |