Win rate
93.3%
70 W / 5 L
Total PnL
$64
realized $-1,212 · unrealized $1,276
Portfolio
$1,276
volume $88,034
Predictions
205
3.6/day · avg $429
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 26/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 100% +$111
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | win |
Weather 93% +$60
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 18? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on April 17? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 16? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 16? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 16? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 14? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on April 14? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 14? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 14? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 100% +$53
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 72¢ | 99¢ | +$53 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,267 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on April 17? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $48 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $181 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 16? | No | 91.7¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $415 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $594 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 16? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $79 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 16? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $73 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 14? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $44 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on April 14? | Yes | 90.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $51 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 14? | Yes | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $118 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 14? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $52 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 14? | Yes | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $48 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on April 14? | Yes | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 14? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $270 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C or higher on April 14? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on April 14? | Yes | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $20 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 14? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 14? | Yes | 96.0¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $48 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 13? | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $46 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13? | Yes | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $48 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C or below on April 13? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $304 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 13? | Yes | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 13? | Yes | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on April 13? | Yes | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on April 13? | Yes | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on April 13? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on April 13? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 13? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 72.5¢ | 99¢ | +$53 | $145 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 12? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $48 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on April 12? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $48 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 12? | Yes | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $48 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on April 12? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $33 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 12? | Yes | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 12? | Yes | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on April 12? | Yes | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on April 12? | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 12? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $77 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 11? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $98 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 11? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $74 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 11? | Yes | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 11? | No | 71.9¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | $23 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 10? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $208 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 10? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 10? | Yes | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $48 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C or below on April 10? | Yes | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $20 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 10? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $149 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 9? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $38 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 9? | Yes | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $67 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on April 9? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 09/04/2026 |