Win rate
44.1%
56 W / 71 L
Total PnL
$-15,274
realized $-16,925 · unrealized $1,651
Portfolio
$1,651
volume $1,144,731
Predictions
130
0.2/day · avg $8,806
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 04/10/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 50% +$9,072
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-188 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 100¢ | +$5,266 | win |
| Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | loss |
Elections 44% +$7,510
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump wins every swing state? | Yes | 19¢ | 100¢ | +$5,441 | win |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? | Yes | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$1,779 | win |
| Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? | Yes | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$1,730 | win |
| Will Trump win 7 swing states? | Yes | 20¢ | 100¢ | +$137 | win |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? | Yes | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Will the AP call the election on November 5? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-560 | loss |
| Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-822 | loss |
| Will Harris lead in RCP by 1.0-1.4 on Nov 4? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-137 | loss |
Politics 54% +$5,426
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-186 | loss |
| Will Harris win Virginia by 6+ points? | No | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$1,748 | win |
| Will Harris win California by 25+ points? | No | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$975 | win |
| Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points? | No | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | win |
| Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | No | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Trump claim victory by midnight? | Yes | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | loss |
| Will Trump say "McDonald's" during Michigan rally on Nov 4? | Yes | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-1,315 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Pennsylvania" 20 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-950 | loss |
| Will Trump say "god" 4 or more times during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1? | Yes | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-2,986 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Hitler" during Warren, MI rally? | Yes | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$300 | win |
Culture 0% $-67
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year? | Yes | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | loss |
Other 39% $-9,311
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame vs. Penn State | Penn State | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-1,476 | loss |
| Alabama vs. Michigan | Alabama | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-580 | loss |
| Will Georgia Tech beat NC State? | GA Tech | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$640 | win |
| Will BYU beat Kansas by 4 or more points? | No | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$298 | win |
| Will San Diego State beat New Mexico? | SDSU | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-520 | loss |
| Associated Press declares winner before 3am on Nov 6? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | loss |
| Who will win young men? | Trump | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$672 | win |
| Who will win white women? | Harris | 28¢ | 0¢ | +$60 | win |
| Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin? | Georgia | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-593 | loss |
| Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-750 | loss |
Crypto 0% $-13,963
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April? | Yes | 58¢ | 16¢ | $-1,706 | loss |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-1,100 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-11,157 | loss |
Sports 38% $-14,327
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims) | Gauge Young | 59¢ | 58¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Warriors | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-1,155 | loss |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-2,550 | loss |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Magic | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-1,522 | loss |
| Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-608 | loss |
| Will another team win the 2025 College Football Playoff? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-243 | loss |
| Bengals vs. Steelers | Steelers | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-1,645 | loss |
| Lions vs. 49ers | Lions | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Lions vs. 49ers | 49ers | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-1,845 | loss |
| Falcons vs. Commanders | Commanders | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$794 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors vs. Suns | Warriors | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,155 | $1,155 | 18/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,550 | $2,550 | 17/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Magic | 61.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,522 | $1,525 | 12/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 17.8¢ | 0¢ | $-188 | $2,811 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | 15.2¢ | 0¢ | $-608 | $608 | 18/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5,266 | $1,003 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | $329 | 02/02/2025 |
| Will Penn State win the 2025 College Football Playoff? | Yes | 14.9¢ | 0¢ | +$503 | $880 | 20/01/2025 |
| Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | +$407 | $173 | 20/01/2025 |
| Will Utah win the 2025 College Football Playoff? | Yes | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $-111 | $225 | 20/01/2025 |
| Will another team win the 2025 College Football Playoff? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-243 | $243 | 20/01/2025 |
| Notre Dame vs. Penn State | Penn State | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,476 | $1,476 | 17/01/2025 |
| Bengals vs. Steelers | Steelers | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,645 | $1,645 | 12/01/2025 |
| Lions vs. 49ers | Lions | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,845 | 07/01/2025 |
| Alabama vs. Michigan | Alabama | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-580 | $580 | 07/01/2025 |
| Lions vs. 49ers | 49ers | 47.1¢ | 0¢ | $-1,845 | $1,845 | 07/01/2025 |
| Falcons vs. Commanders | Commanders | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$794 | $1,051 | 06/01/2025 |
| Falcons vs. Commanders | Falcons | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | +$414 | $638 | 06/01/2025 |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 06/01/2025 |
| Will the Ravens win by 20 or more points? | Ravens | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$538 | $539 | 04/01/2025 |
| Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $76 | 31/12/2024 |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Yes | 28.5¢ | 0¢ | $-1,100 | $5,700 | 30/12/2024 |
| Steelers vs. Bengals | Bengals | 58.9¢ | 0¢ | $-6,190 | $6,190 | 08/12/2024 |
| Eagles vs. Rams | Rams | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,050 | $2,050 | 02/12/2024 |
| 49ers vs. Packers | 49ers | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-814 | $824 | 01/12/2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November? | Yes | 41.2¢ | 0¢ | $-11,157 | $11,157 | 30/11/2024 |
| Commanders vs. Eagles | Commanders | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | +$104 | $4,348 | 22/11/2024 |
| Will Georgia Tech beat NC State? | GA Tech | 69.1¢ | 100¢ | +$640 | $1,429 | 21/11/2024 |
| Will BYU beat Kansas by 4 or more points? | No | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$298 | $395 | 17/11/2024 |
| Will San Diego State beat New Mexico? | SDSU | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-520 | $520 | 09/11/2024 |
| Associated Press declares winner before 3am on Nov 6? | Yes | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $76 | 06/11/2024 |
| Trump wins every swing state? | Yes | 19.1¢ | 100¢ | +$5,441 | $1,591 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3,470 | $1,250 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? | Yes | 56.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1,779 | $2,320 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will Harris win Virginia by 6+ points? | No | 47.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1,748 | $1,944 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? | Yes | 50.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1,730 | $1,770 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will Harris win California by 25+ points? | No | 56.8¢ | 100¢ | +$975 | $1,284 | 05/11/2024 |
| Who will win young men? | Trump | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$672 | $1,400 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will Trump win 7 swing states? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 100¢ | +$137 | $34 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points? | No | 39.0¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | $78 | 05/11/2024 |
| Who will win white women? | Harris | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | +$60 | $119 | 05/11/2024 |
| Buccaneers vs. Chiefs | Buccaneers | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $24 | 05/11/2024 |
| Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ? | No | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $33 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election? | Yes | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $34 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? | Yes | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $49 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency? | Yes | 7.1¢ | 0¢ | $-186 | $1,130 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will Trump claim victory by midnight? | Yes | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will the AP call the election on November 5? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-560 | $560 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin? | Georgia | 19.3¢ | 0¢ | $-593 | $593 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024? | Yes | 18.5¢ | 0¢ | $-750 | $750 | 05/11/2024 |