Win rate
75.0%
12 W / 4 L
Total PnL
$55
realized $-688 · unrealized $744
Portfolio
$744
volume $3,108
Predictions
105
0.8/day · avg $30
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 19/01/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Politics 100% +$12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" this week? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Biden pardon SBF? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Elections 100% +$10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Iran Nuke in 2025? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Weather 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 10? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 50% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 85¢ | 82¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | No | 70¢ | 87¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? | No | 86¢ | 78¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Crude Oil all time high by March 31? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (16)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 10? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 10/04/2026 |
| Crude Oil all time high by March 31? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 31/01/2026 |
| Iran Nuke in 2025? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $21 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $25 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" this week? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $20 | 30/05/2025 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election? | Yes | 90.2¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $94 | 23/02/2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Yes | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $27 | 23/02/2025 |
| Will Biden pardon SBF? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $100 | 20/01/2025 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April? | No | 95.8¢ | 95¢ | $-2 | $455 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? | No | 86.2¢ | 78¢ | $-6 | $72 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | No | 87.2¢ | 84¢ | $-7 | $234 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | No | 70.1¢ | 87¢ | +$7 | $32 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 89.1¢ | 92¢ | +$5 | $158 | 10/10/2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 95.5¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $67 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 84.6¢ | 82¢ | $-1 | $21 | 31/12/2026 |