Win rate
34.2%
27 W / 52 L
Total PnL
$-5
realized $-530 · unrealized $525
Portfolio
$525
volume $88,744
Predictions
132
38.9/day · avg $672
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 13/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Mentions 50% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Economy 50% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Esports 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | Spirit | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Sentinels | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner | MOUZ | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Tech 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
Geopolitics 71% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
Elections 20% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Politics 29% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$-0 | loss |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 17% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 14? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
Sports 16% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff | Karolina Muchova | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | Boston Red Sox | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jasmine Paolini | Zeynep Sonmez | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Other 38% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Riders | Chennai Super Kings | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Otto Virtanen | Carlos Alcaraz | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner | ThunderTalk Gaming | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $80 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $61 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $61 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | Spirit | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Sentinels | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $61 | 16/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $604 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $502 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $281 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $593 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 15? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner | ThunderTalk Gaming | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner | MOUZ | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $41 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 14? | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $121 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $41 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 14/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) | G2 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $138 | 14/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | No | 99.1¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $549 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $363 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 21/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Riders | Chennai Super Kings | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 21/04/2026 |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jasmine Paolini | Zeynep Sonmez | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 21/04/2026 |
| Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Otto Virtanen | Carlos Alcaraz | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $99 | 21/04/2026 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | Boston Red Sox | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 22/04/2026 |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff | Karolina Muchova | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 24/04/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $976 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $109 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $541 | 29/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 97.1¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $311 | 30/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,049 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | No | 99.1¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $1,522 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | No | 98.4¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $743 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,928 | 30/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 97.0¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $141 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? | No | 98.6¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,071 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $240 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,138 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | No | 98.3¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $40 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $41 | 30/04/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,130 | 30/04/2026 |