Win rate
43.6%
24 W / 31 L
Total PnL
$-41,771
realized $-61,781 · unrealized $20,010
Portfolio
$20,010
volume $506,028
Predictions
292
10.5/day · avg $1,733
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/1969 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 37% +$394
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | +$1 | win |
| Kash Patel out by June 30? | Yes | 33¢ | 30¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 16¢ | 40¢ | +$47 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | Yes | 90¢ | 90¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Heritage? | Yes | 6¢ | 18¢ | +$42 | win |
| FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | Over | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-117 | loss |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
Sports 64% +$26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 46¢ | 44¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 11¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84¢ | 83¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 23¢ | 23¢ | +$0 | win |
| Blues vs. Utah | Blues | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
Politics 83% +$16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | Yes | 70¢ | 68¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 24¢ | 28¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 38¢ | 39¢ | +$1 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 44¢ | 60¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 10, 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Crypto 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Esports 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | FURIA Esports | 76¢ | 76¢ | $-2 | loss |
Geopolitics 36% $-70
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | No | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 31¢ | 20¢ | $-10 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | loss |
| Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30? | No | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$14 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 23¢ | 40¢ | +$211 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-79 | loss |
Elections 0% $-11,166
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 19¢ | 19¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 42¢ | 40¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | Yes | 97¢ | 84¢ | $-11,164 | loss |
Mentions 33% $-20,884
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | Yes | 17¢ | 20¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 71¢ | 1¢ | $-20,865 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blues vs. Utah | Blues | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 71.5¢ | 1¢ | $-20,865 | $21,360 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $35 | 17/04/2026 |
| FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | Over | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $77 | 15/04/2026 |
| Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer | Yes | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | No | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-79 | $114 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 18.8¢ | 100¢ | +$466 | $108 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $100 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 6.6¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $62 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $28 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 8.3¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $98 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 13.5¢ | 0¢ | $-117 | $172 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | $3,060 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 10, 2026? | Yes | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 11/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 07/04/2026 |
| Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | FURIA Esports | 76.0¢ | 76¢ | $-2 | $277 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | Yes | 96.9¢ | 84¢ | $-11,164 | $34,790 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 RBC Heritage? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 14¢ | $-23 | $100 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Russell Henley win the 2026 RBC Heritage? | Yes | 5.1¢ | 3¢ | $-11 | $23 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Heritage? | Yes | 6.2¢ | 18¢ | +$42 | $22 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 20¢ | +$2 | $32 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 23.3¢ | 40¢ | +$211 | $8,800 | 22/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 59.0¢ | 38¢ | $-62 | $178 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30? | No | 90.6¢ | 97¢ | +$14 | $200 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 60¢ | +$5 | $23 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 66.8¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $21 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | Yes | 90.0¢ | 90¢ | $-0 | $20 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $42 | 30/04/2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? | No | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $76 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 16.3¢ | 40¢ | +$47 | $32 | 27/05/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 31.0¢ | 20¢ | $-10 | $26 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 23.4¢ | 23¢ | +$0 | $109 | 30/06/2026 |
| Kash Patel out by June 30? | Yes | 32.8¢ | 30¢ | $-7 | $100 | 30/06/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | 58.4¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $45 | 30/06/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | No | 43.1¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | $22 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1.9¢ | 2¢ | +$1 | $62 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17.2¢ | 17¢ | +$1 | $361 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16.1¢ | 16¢ | +$1 | $59 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9.6¢ | 9¢ | $-2 | $21 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 11¢ | $-4 | $26 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 88.5¢ | 89¢ | +$0 | $29 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 83.6¢ | 83¢ | $-0 | $77 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 42.0¢ | 40¢ | $-1 | $21 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 45.7¢ | 44¢ | $-2 | $28 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 3.9¢ | 4¢ | $-0 | $22 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 22.2¢ | 22¢ | +$1 | $100 | 31/12/2026 |