Win rate
29.2%
28 W / 68 L
Total PnL
$-2,251
realized $-3,535 · unrealized $1,284
Portfolio
$1,284
volume $215,457
Predictions
107
2.1/day · avg $2,014
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 22/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Crypto 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 13? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 12? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 9? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 8? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 90% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 0% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
Elections 0% $-13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
Politics 7% $-20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Weather 0% $-56
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5 | Over | 51¢ | 100¢ | $-56 | loss |
Other 29% $-391
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5) | Miami Hurricanes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | loss |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-121 | loss |
| Will SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-03-07? | Yes | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$87 | win |
| Will Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-116 | loss |
Sports 9% $-1,716
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| 76ers vs. Rockets | 76ers | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-1,410 | loss |
| Blue Jackets vs. Flyers | Blue Jackets | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | win |
| Hurricanes vs. Kraken | Kraken | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$197 | win |
| Devils vs. Blues | Devils | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$103 | win |
| Rockets vs. Hawks | Hawks | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-626 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers vs. Rockets | 76ers | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,410 | $1,410 | 10/04/2026 |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5 | Over | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | $-56 | $714 | 27/03/2026 |
| Blue Jackets vs. Flyers | Blue Jackets | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | $93 | 24/03/2026 |
| Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5) | Miami Hurricanes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $96 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $91 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $87 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $65 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,520 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $4,545 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-121 | $121 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $116 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-03-07? | Yes | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$87 | $74 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? | Yes | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-116 | $116 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | $-122 | $122 | 06/03/2026 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | $120 | 05/03/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Kraken | Kraken | 38.0¢ | 100¢ | +$197 | $121 | 03/03/2026 |
| Devils vs. Blues | Devils | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$103 | $107 | 28/02/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 98.8¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $39 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 13? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 12? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 12/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 11? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 9? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 9? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 8? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $46 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 06/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $47 | 05/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $38 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $38 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 31/01/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Hawks | Hawks | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-626 | $626 | 30/01/2026 |
| Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,229 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,376 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $253 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,352 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $894 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $978 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $2,153 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $2,461 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,122 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,236 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,266 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,326 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,647 | 01/07/2026 |