polywallet polymarket whale scanner
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Win rate
69.8%
745 W / 323 L
Total PnL
$6,623
realized $-14,510 · unrealized $21,132
Portfolio
$21,132
volume $1,927,034
Predictions
1,316
11.3/day · avg $1,464

PnL history

Details

Joined27/03/2025
Last activity17/04/2026
Profiled at17/04/2026
Qualifiedyes

Category breakdown

Other 75% +$2,996 $89,889 vol · 391 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 74¢ 100¢ +$31 win
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes 78¢ 100¢ +$23 win
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31? No 86¢ 100¢ +$54 win
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No 77¢ 84¢ +$25 win
Will the US strike Somalia next? Yes 96¢ 100¢ +$1 win
Will the US strike Somalia next? Yes 99¢ 100¢ +$0 win
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 82¢ 82¢ +$0 win
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 35¢ 42¢ +$0
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes 81¢ 68¢ $-208 loss
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 13¢ $-23 loss
Politics 74% +$1,524 $39,755 vol · 142 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +$27 win
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? No 78¢ 76¢ $-16 loss
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? No 31¢ 100¢ +$276 win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 85¢ 92¢ +$45 win
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No 86¢ 92¢ +$1 win
Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027? No 35¢ $-6 loss
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? Yes 14¢ $-26 loss
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No 71¢ 84¢ +$44 win
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No 68¢ 84¢ +$46 win
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027? Yes 25¢ 10¢ $-17 loss
Geopolitics 69% +$955 $143,820 vol · 274 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? No 66¢ 100¢ $-22 loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? No 33¢ $-285 loss
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +$0
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? Yes 53¢ +$8 win
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No 68¢ 26¢ $-22 loss
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? Yes $-96 loss
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No 66¢ 18¢ $-18 loss
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes 38¢ 74¢ +$58 win
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No 54¢ 25¢ +$42 win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? No 76¢ 90¢ +$32 win
Tech 75% +$828 $3,675 vol · 44 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 62¢ 62¢ +$0 win
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale? Yes 11¢ $-100 loss
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale? Yes 89¢ 100¢ +$16 win
Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO? No 46¢ 100¢ +$73 win
Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO? No 61¢ 100¢ +$68 win
Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO? Yes 100¢ +$67 win
Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO? No 46¢ +$41 win
Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO? Yes 56¢ +$5 win
Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO? Yes 57¢ 100¢ +$2 win
Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO? Yes 12¢ $-24 loss
Sports 61% +$594 $9,755 vol · 113 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 41¢ 46¢ +$7 win
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? Yes 95¢ 100¢ +$29 win
Will CAR/CHI/JAX/SF/LAC/HOU win their 2026 NFL Wild Card round games? No 100¢ 100¢ +$0 win
Rams vs. Panthers Panthers 10¢ +$10 win
Magnus Carlsen wins both World Rapid & Blitz Championships? Yes 24¢ 100¢ +$85 win
Spread: Bills (-2.5) Eagles 44¢ 100¢ +$28 win
Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5) Dolphins 52¢ 100¢ +$24 win
Giants vs. Raiders Giants 60¢ 100¢ +$16 win
Patriots vs. Jets Jets 13¢ $-20 loss
Jaguars vs. Colts Colts 41¢ $-25 loss
Elections 65% +$262 $11,582 vol · 38 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 60¢ $-69 loss
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 38¢ 40¢ +$4 win
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No 27¢ 26¢ $-1 loss
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? Yes 94¢ 100¢ +$14 win
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? No 93¢ 100¢ +$29 win
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 11¢ 16¢ $-9 loss
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election? Yes 80¢ 97¢ +$59 win
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? No $-32 loss
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 91¢ 99¢ +$20 win
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 98¢ 100¢ +$1 win
Economy 70% +$156 $2,940 vol · 10 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15? No 72¢ 100¢ $-6 loss
US recession in 2025? No 88¢ 100¢ +$121 win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? Yes 94¢ 100¢ +$13 win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? No 94¢ 100¢ +$1 win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? Yes 97¢ 100¢ +$7 win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? No 54¢ $-19 loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? Yes 93¢ 100¢ +$5 win
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? No 97¢ 100¢ +$3 win
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July? Yes 84¢ $-24 loss
Finance 50% +$109 $1,715 vol · 10 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? No 35¢ $-23 loss
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? No 32¢ 30¢ +$43 win
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes 74¢ 96¢ +$140 win
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes 73¢ 70¢ $-46 loss
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day? No 67¢ $-202 loss
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on October 21? Down 48¢ 100¢ +$2 win
Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on October 21? Down 48¢ $-8 loss
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th? No 91¢ 100¢ +$5 win
Will anyone say "Advertisement" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call? Yes 28¢ $-1 loss
Esports 100% +$41 $35 vol · 1 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3) Passion UA 46¢ 100¢ +$41 win
Mentions 75% $-1 $270 vol · 4 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026? Yes 99¢ 100¢ +$1 win
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025? No 56¢ 100¢ +$4 win
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025? Yes 53¢ 100¢ +$1 win
Will Elon tweet 320–334 times May 30–June 6? No 66¢ $-6 loss
Weather 50% $-120 $956 vol · 4 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025? Yes 86¢ 100¢ $-124 loss
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31? No 77¢ $-0 loss
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31? Yes 97¢ 100¢ +$2 win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64–65°F on May 14? Yes 100¢ 100¢ +$3 win
Culture 48% $-425 $6,270 vol · 31 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery? Yes 88¢ 100¢ +$23 win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m? Yes 29¢ $-59 loss
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards? No 94¢ 100¢ +$196 win
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? No 78¢ 100¢ +$110 win
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? Yes 30¢ 100¢ +$105 win
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? No 63¢ +$0
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? Yes 58¢ $-49 loss
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? Yes 59¢ 100¢ +$4 win
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? No 29¢ $-63 loss
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? No 10¢ +$0
Crypto 50% $-1,037 $6,299 vol · 28 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026? No $-63 loss
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026? Yes 88¢ $-484 loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 64¢ 74¢ +$16 win
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? No 85¢ 100¢ $-69 loss
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? Yes 51¢ $-98 loss
Australian Open Men's: Ethan Quinn vs Tallon Griekspoor Griekspoor 59¢ $-30 loss
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025? No 67¢ 100¢ +$34 win
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? Yes 100¢ 100¢ +$4 win
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? Yes 50¢ $-78 loss
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? No 92¢ 100¢ +$2 win

Recent Trades (50)

Market Position Avg Price Cur Price PnL Volume Settled
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? Yes 88.3¢ 100¢ +$290 $2,207 15/04/2026
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? No 75.3¢ 100¢ +$185 $565 15/04/2026
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? No 69.0¢ 100¢ +$58 $129 15/04/2026
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? Yes 12.6¢ 100¢ +$49 $1,822 15/04/2026
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? No 71.0¢ 100¢ +$42 $213 15/04/2026
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? No 90.9¢ 100¢ +$0 $546 15/04/2026
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? Yes 19.0¢ +$0 $154 15/04/2026
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15? No 72.0¢ 100¢ $-6 $101 15/04/2026
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? Yes 23.9¢ $-127 $1,787 15/04/2026
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? No 80.8¢ $-828 $2,693 15/04/2026
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? Yes 59.3¢ 93¢ +$330 $2,049 15/04/2026
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026? No 79.7¢ 100¢ +$197 $772 14/04/2026
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? No 85.5¢ 100¢ +$156 $914 12/04/2026
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? Yes 2.1¢ +$73 $570 12/04/2026
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 90.9¢ 99¢ +$20 $713 12/04/2026
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? No 96.6¢ 100¢ +$4 $483 12/04/2026
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 97.5¢ 100¢ +$1 $169 12/04/2026
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? Yes 94.0¢ 99¢ +$96 $2,162 12/04/2026
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026? No 96.2¢ 100¢ +$18 $453 10/04/2026
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? Yes 9.5¢ +$0 $23 10/04/2026
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Yes 71.9¢ 100¢ +$1,929 $13,923 07/04/2026
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? No 95.6¢ +$0 $239 07/04/2026
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? Yes 18.0¢ $-6 $76 07/04/2026
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5) Michigan Wolverines 47.0¢ $-16 $750 07/04/2026
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? Yes 46.5¢ 93¢ +$1,984 $2,845 07/04/2026
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m? Yes 29.2¢ $-59 $61 06/04/2026
Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3? Yes 60.0¢ 100¢ +$94 $432 03/04/2026
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation? No 97.7¢ 100¢ +$72 $3,133 01/04/2026
Will Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation? Yes 72.0¢ 100¢ +$14 $36 01/04/2026
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation? Yes 0.1¢ $-150 $150 01/04/2026
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70%? No 9.7¢ +$598 $457 31/03/2026
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March? No 66.6¢ 100¢ +$498 $995 31/03/2026
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 29, 2026? No 46.8¢ 100¢ +$389 $342 31/03/2026
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31? Yes 30.7¢ 100¢ +$347 $154 31/03/2026
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? No 39.4¢ 100¢ +$301 $215 31/03/2026
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? Yes 45.8¢ 100¢ +$227 $192 31/03/2026
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? Yes 39.5¢ +$205 $395 31/03/2026
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? Yes 0.4¢ +$203 $65 31/03/2026
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more? Yes 78.9¢ 100¢ +$183 $692 31/03/2026
BitBoy convicted? Yes 42.1¢ +$175 $459 31/03/2026
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? Yes 11.0¢ +$165 $218 31/03/2026
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? No 34.3¢ 100¢ +$161 $86 31/03/2026
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31? No 20.0¢ 100¢ +$159 $73 31/03/2026
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? Yes 69.0¢ 100¢ +$158 $483 31/03/2026
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more? No 74.5¢ 100¢ +$156 $456 31/03/2026
US forces enter Iran by March 31? No 87.9¢ 100¢ +$140 $1,223 31/03/2026
Will another country strike Iran by March 31? No 76.5¢ 100¢ +$135 $440 31/03/2026
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? Yes 25.8¢ +$130 $509 31/03/2026
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31? No 57.8¢ 100¢ +$126 $173 31/03/2026
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1? No 81.4¢ 100¢ +$99 $692 31/03/2026