VortexTrading

Geopolitics 74% +$533 $16,031 vol · 58 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	32¢	0¢	$-17	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$79	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	30¢	0¢	+$25	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	65¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	51¢	18¢	$-9	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	69¢	69¢	+$3	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	59¢	81¢	+$10	win
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	44¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	79¢	94¢	+$102	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	94¢	98¢	+$3	win

Crypto 92% +$299 $11,544 vol · 275 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	94¢	100¢	+$1	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8PM ET	Down	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	59¢	100¢	+$19	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	73¢	100¢	+$13	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	82¢	100¢	+$7	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	84¢	100¢	+$7	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9AM ET	Up	83¢	100¢	+$6	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	79¢	100¢	+$6	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	86¢	100¢	+$5	win

Other 65% +$174 $6,241 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	66¢	84¢	+$4	win
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	94¢	98¢	+$10	win
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	95¢	94¢	$-0	loss
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	96¢	91¢	$-8	loss
SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?	No	99¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?	No	98¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	99¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?	No	89¢	100¢	+$7	win
Netanyahu out by March 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$82	win

Tech 86% +$83 $658 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$7	win
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	40¢	0¢	$-77	loss
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$4	win

Politics 64% +$45 $4,325 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	99¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-9	loss
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	87¢	92¢	+$8	win
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$5	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?	No	90¢	100¢	$-12	loss
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	No	51¢	100¢	+$59	win
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	89¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	43¢	0¢	$-34	loss

Sports 100% +$5 $155 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Coinbase be accused of insider trading?	No	97¢	100¢	+$5	win

Economy 100% +$3 $280 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$3	win

Elections 50% $-46 $990 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	86¢	86¢	$-3	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	97¢	76¢	$-44	loss
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	98¢	98¢	+$0	win
Will Clayton Fuller win the GA-14 special election?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$1	win