Chetonsol

Tech 78% +$137 $8,566 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Craig Federighi be the next CEO of Apple?	No	99¢	94¢	$-8	loss
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	99¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	93¢	99¢	+$46	win
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	98¢	96¢	$-17	loss
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	99¢	99¢	+$1	win
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$36	win
Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?	No	98¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?	No	95¢	100¢	+$46	win

Weather 92% +$109 $16,393 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on March 30?	No	98¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on March 30?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on March 27?	No	98¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 24?	No	98¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on March 24?	No	99¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on March 22?	No	99¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 36°F or higher on March 16?	No	100¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 14?	No	99¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on March 14?	No	99¢	100¢	+$11	win

Mentions 75% +$82 $2,656 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	35¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	No	64¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$54	win
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$29	win

Crypto 85% +$58 $9,287 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	74¢	56¢	$-51	loss
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	97¢	98¢	+$2	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 11?	No	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Solana reach $100 in March?	No	98¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 26?	No	98¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 24?	No	99¢	100¢	+$9	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	92¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on March 19?	No	98¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on March 17?	No	96¢	100¢	+$41	win
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	99¢	100¢	+$11	win

Culture 50% +$16 $1,632 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$39	win
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?	Yes	53¢	0¢	$-23	loss

Economy 0% $-10 $168 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	97¢	91¢	$-10	loss

Esports 0% $-10 $180 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Execration	72¢	0¢	$-10	loss

Sports 0% $-42 $2,164 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	44¢	44¢	$-0	loss
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	99¢	99¢	$-1	loss
Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	37¢	34¢	$-2	loss
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)	Reinier de Ridder	35¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Will North America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	98¢	98¢	$-3	loss

Finance 56% $-95 $806 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	99¢	98¢	$-1	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 24?	Up	45¢	0¢	$-44	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 17?	Up	83¢	100¢	+$16	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 17?	Down	73¢	0¢	$-132	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 16?	Up	70¢	100¢	+$21	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 13?	Up	48¢	100¢	+$32	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 13?	Up	59¢	0¢	$-22	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?	Up	48¢	100¢	+$32	win
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	23¢	22¢	+$1	win

Politics 50% $-101 $11,666 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	49¢	100¢	$-12	loss
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	No	53¢	52¢	+$1	win
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	46¢	48¢	$-11	loss
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	64¢	60¢	+$4	win
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	34¢	40¢	+$1	win
Will Luxembourg win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	99¢	99¢	+$2	win
Trump out as President by April 30?	No	99¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	73¢	41¢	$-2	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	26¢	59¢	$-82	loss

Other 46% $-182 $42,855 vol · 78 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	89¢	85¢	+$11	win
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	Yes	42¢	60¢	$-11	loss
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	96¢	100¢	+$54	win
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	17¢	8¢	$-94	loss
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	72¢	64¢	+$0	—
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	96¢	96¢	$-1	loss
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	97¢	96¢	$-23	loss
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	Yes	91¢	90¢	$-5	loss
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?	No	98¢	94¢	$-19	loss
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?	No	99¢	98¢	$-0	loss

Geopolitics 81% $-204 $10,804 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	51¢	100¢	$-223	loss
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	99¢	99¢	+$2	win
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	99¢	99¢	+$1	win
Will Iran strike Spain by April 30, 2026?	No	99¢	99¢	+$0	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	33¢	60¢	$-13	loss
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	No	97¢	100¢	+$14	win
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?	No	64¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$21	win
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$19	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$17	win

Elections 36% $-341 $8,355 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	98¢	100¢	$-38	loss
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?	Yes	72¢	88¢	+$22	win
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	32¢	1¢	+$10	win
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?	Yes	54¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	28¢	1¢	+$0	—
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	66¢	99¢	$-4	loss
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?	No	45¢	100¢	$-13	loss
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	97¢	96¢	$-50	loss
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	54¢	99¢	$-19	loss
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	91¢	0¢	$-290	loss