whig

Elections 59% +$22,776 $82,546 vol · 105 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3¢	4¢	+$44	win
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	41¢	52¢	+$0	win
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?	No	91¢	89¢	$-13	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	75¢	75¢	$-140	loss
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	19¢	8¢	+$0	win
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?	No	69¢	72¢	+$3	win
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	65¢	99¢	+$0	—
Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-70	loss

Geopolitics 67% +$18,161 $251,063 vol · 122 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	92¢	100¢	+$672	win
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$66	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	20¢	0¢	$-886	loss
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	No	81¢	90¢	+$11	win
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	44¢	100¢	+$0	—
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	27¢	82¢	+$25	win
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	30¢	28¢	$-100	loss
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$586	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	25¢	0¢	$-742	loss

Other 67% +$16,298 $73,647 vol · 101 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$289	win
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	60¢	59¢	$-1	loss
Will Eric Swalwell drop out before California primary?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$143	win
Will Eric Swalwell drop out before California primary?	No	7¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will Elissa Finley get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?	Yes	41¢	100¢	+$5	win
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	77¢	100¢	+$2	win
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	53¢	36¢	+$-0	—
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	48¢	54¢	+$328	win
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-177	loss

Politics 71% +$8,068 $36,724 vol · 39 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4¢	4¢	+$0	—
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	20¢	45¢	+$195	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$4	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	70¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	1¢	0¢	$-62	loss
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	55¢	40¢	$-548	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	38¢	55¢	+$227	win
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?	No	5¢	0¢	$-33	loss
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Biden" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?	No	4¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Crypto 100% +$1,945 $10,304 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$620	win
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	No	80¢	0¢	+$22	win
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?	Yes	5¢	0¢	+$342	win

Sports 86% +$1,812 $5,290 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: Galions Sharks vs French Flair (BO5) - LFL Invitational Playoffs	French Flair	36¢	50¢	+$241	win
LoL: Galions Sharks vs French Flair - Game 2 Winner	Galions Sharks	100¢	50¢	$-1,336	loss
Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	No	25¢	100¢	+$673	win
Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	Yes	62¢	100¢	+$153	win

Mentions 100% +$431 $310 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 5?	No	42¢	100¢	+$431	win

Esports 100% +$402 $106 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Brute vs PRIME - Map 2 Winner	PRIME	10¢	50¢	+$402	win

Weather 100% +$36 $133 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?	No	2¢	0¢	+$23	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 7?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$13	win

Economy 0% $-12 $22 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-12	loss

Culture 0% $-86 $120 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	24¢	0¢	$-86	loss

Finance 0% $-194 $534 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?	No	3¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-150	loss

Tech 0% $-541 $626 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	37¢	0¢	$-219	loss
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?	No	12¢	0¢	$-322	loss