Win rate
91.6%
445 W / 41 L
Total PnL
$63,495
realized $-107,844 · unrealized $171,339
Portfolio
$171,339
volume $11,663,093
Predictions
508
10.8/day · avg $22,959
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 12/09/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 92% +$53,960
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $7M committed to the Fabric public sale? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | win |
| Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$194 | win |
| Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$612 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$295 | win |
| Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$155 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Over $1M committed to the Sol Raffle public sale? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Crypto 96% +$5,407
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first? | $2k | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 April 13-19? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 16? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down on April 16? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down on April 16? | Down | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-132 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 14? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 14? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 13? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 10? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$123 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 9? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | win |
Geopolitics 75% +$883
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$175 | win |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | $-601 | loss |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 33¢ | 70¢ | +$291 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$134 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$387 | win |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026? | Yes | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$264 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | win |
Politics 100% +$57
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in March? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | win |
Tech 50% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | Yes | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Culture 0% $-33
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
Sports 88% $-860
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand | India | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$240 | win |
| T20 World Cup: England vs India | India | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | win |
| T20 World Cup: India vs West Indies | India | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | win |
| Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs South Africa | South Africa | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Afghanistan finish second in the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will New Zealand finish second in the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| T20 World Cup: India vs West Indies | West Indies | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | loss |
| T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs New Zealand | Sri Lanka | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistan | England | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2,243 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,650 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $115 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $147 | 17/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore | Rajasthan Royals | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 17? | Down | 98.0¢ | 99¢ | +$26 | $1,905 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 56.8¢ | 55¢ | $-30 | $900 | 17/04/2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on April 17? | No | 91.4¢ | 98¢ | +$71 | $1,037 | 17/04/2026 |
| Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 17? | Up | 90.6¢ | 100¢ | +$98 | $971 | 17/04/2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on April 17? | No | 95.0¢ | 97¢ | +$8 | $408 | 17/04/2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on April 17? | No | 62.0¢ | 97¢ | +$143 | $254 | 17/04/2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on April 17? | No | 96.2¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | $349 | 17/04/2026 |
| Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 17? | Down | 49.5¢ | 44¢ | +$7 | $136 | 17/04/2026 |
| Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 16? | Up | 77.1¢ | 100¢ | +$207 | $976 | 16/04/2026 |
| Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 16? | Down | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | $3,064 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 16? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $7,692 | 16/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on April 16? | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $7,038 | 16/04/2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 16? | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $537 | 16/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants - Who wins the toss? | Lucknow Super Giants | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $33 | 16/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on April 16? | Down | 16.5¢ | 0¢ | $-132 | $132 | 16/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titans | Gujarat Titans | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | +$537 | $21,186 | 15/04/2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 15? | Down | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $387 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 14? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $3,003 | 15/04/2026 |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 15? | Down | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,506 | 15/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titans | Delhi Capitals | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $165 | 15/04/2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 15? | Up | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $54 | 15/04/2026 |
| Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 14? | Down | 91.5¢ | 100¢ | +$656 | $5,894 | 14/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians | Rajasthan Royals | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$534 | $35,673 | 14/04/2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 14? | Down | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $1,371 | 14/04/2026 |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 14? | Up | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $641 | 14/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians - Who wins the toss? | Mumbai Indians | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $9,361 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 14? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $4,496 | 14/04/2026 |
| Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 13? | Down | 72.6¢ | 100¢ | +$601 | $1,593 | 13/04/2026 |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 13? | Down | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | +$449 | $9,021 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 13? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $8,087 | 13/04/2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13? | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $3,440 | 13/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Punjab Kings - Who wins the toss? | Kolkata Knight Riders | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $112 | 13/04/2026 |
| Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 13? | Down | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $996 | 13/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Punjab Kings | Punjab Kings | 52.7¢ | 50¢ | $-225 | $4,361 | 13/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kings | Royal Challengers Bangalore | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$493 | $58,209 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 10? | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$123 | $122,772 | 10/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings | Punjab Kings | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $8,415 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of April 6 2026? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $8,915 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 Week of April 6 2026? | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $439 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $68 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $104 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $104 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of April 6 2026? | Yes | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $199 | 10/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad | Sunrisers Hyderabad | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$228 | $32,648 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 9? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | $77,922 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $29,400 | 09/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on April 9? | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $23,285 | 09/04/2026 |