Win rate
63.7%
1232 W / 701 L
Total PnL
$342,796
realized $112,305 · unrealized $230,491
Portfolio
$230,491
volume $18,790,363
Predictions
1,776
6.2/day · avg $10,580
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 18/12/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Esports 62% +$295,107
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega | Wolves Esports | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winner | Sentinels | 42¢ | 0¢ | +$48 | win |
| Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha | G2 Esports | 61¢ | 0¢ | +$36 | win |
| Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha | MIBR | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winner | KRÜ Esports | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Lost Puppies (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group A | Lost Puppies | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-520 | loss |
| Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | FUT Esports | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$220 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner | TheMongolz | 42¢ | 0¢ | +$17 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner | FUT Esports | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ESC Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffs | ESC Gaming | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | loss |
Other 64% +$41,083
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 61¢ | 55¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | loss |
| EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$173 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Yes | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 44¢ | 55¢ | +$28 | win |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 59¢ | 18¢ | +$20 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | No | 54¢ | 58¢ | +$5 | win |
Finance 100% +$6,358
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T | No | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 10? | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 10? | Down | 43¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| 10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday? | No | 20¢ | 0¢ | +$23 | win |
| US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$5,207 | win |
Politics 69% +$6,323
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$4,349 | win |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$750 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$335 | win |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 20, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | $-151 | loss |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? | No | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-192 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? | No | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | loss |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$129 | win |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August? | No | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
Geopolitics 76% +$5,988
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 81¢ | 91¢ | +$467 | win |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 75¢ | 86¢ | +$2 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | No | 48¢ | 88¢ | +$121 | win |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | 26¢ | 0¢ | +$66 | win |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | No | 92¢ | 97¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-267 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 68¢ | 48¢ | +$360 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-643 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
Crypto 74% +$5,182
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 65¢ | 86¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$417 | win |
| Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-1,263 | loss |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 66¢ | 22¢ | $-311 | loss |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 98¢ | +$40 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$241 | win |
| Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$328 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | win |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | win |
Tech 76% +$378
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | Yes | 22¢ | 28¢ | +$6 | win |
| Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026? | No | 45¢ | 43¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will Tesla dip to $300 in March? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will Tesla deliver 500000 or more vehicles in Q4 2025 | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$233 | win |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $530 end of January? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$500 in 2025? | No | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$148 | win |
| Will Google (GOOGL) hit $375 before 2026?? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | $-218 | loss |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $450–475 in 2025? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
Weather 80% +$39
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C or below on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above in June? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above in May? | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$190 | win |
Elections 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50¢ | 81¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 19¢ | +$0 | — |
Culture 50% $-49
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bad Bunny have a #1 hit in April? | Yes | 74¢ | 5¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year in the 2024 Steam Awards? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Economy 67% $-497
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%? | No | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-1,269 | loss |
| Will U.S. GDP growth be between -1% and -2% in Q1 2025? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Sports 56% $-20,930
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks vs. Magic | Hawks | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Suns vs. Magic | Magic | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | Spurs | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| Celtics vs. Thunder | Thunder | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$1,201 | win |
| Raptors vs. Pelicans | Raptors | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-330 | loss |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | JD Gaming | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$9,556 | win |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Bilibili Gaming | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$280 | win |
| Clippers vs. Warriors | Clippers | 52¢ | 100¢ | $-160 | loss |
| Celtics vs. Bucks | Bucks | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-510 | loss |
| Clippers vs. Warriors | Warriors | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-5,000 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $877 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C or below on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $770 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on April 17? | No | 73.0¢ | 0¢ | $-162 | $162 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Anyones Legend | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | $796 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | Anyones Legend | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $1,838 | 16/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega | Wolves Esports | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $403 | 16/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2,158 | $118,910 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 88.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1,749 | $21,104 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 32.5¢ | 12¢ | $-539 | $3,283 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | No | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $-113 | $195 | 15/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winner | Sentinels | 42.2¢ | 0¢ | +$48 | $1,086 | 11/04/2026 |
| Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha | G2 Esports | 61.4¢ | 0¢ | +$36 | $4,686 | 11/04/2026 |
| Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha | MIBR | 38.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $469 | 11/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winner | KRÜ Esports | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $134 | 11/04/2026 |
| Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Lost Puppies (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group A | Lost Puppies | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-520 | $520 | 11/04/2026 |
| Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | FUT Esports | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$220 | $248 | 10/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 53.1¢ | 100¢ | +$174 | $210 | 10/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner | TheMongolz | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | +$17 | $740 | 10/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner | FUT Esports | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $633 | 10/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ESC Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffs | ESC Gaming | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | $282 | 10/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-434 | $434 | 10/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner | PARIVISION | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,752 | $6,679 | 08/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner | B8 | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$857 | $823 | 08/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Tricked vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner | Tricked | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$187 | $166 | 08/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner | Legacy | 32.8¢ | 0¢ | $-874 | $874 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March? | No | 88.5¢ | 100¢ | +$241 | $1,957 | 01/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Magic | Hawks | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $63 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Tesla dip to $300 in March? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $264 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | No | 66.7¢ | 100¢ | +$25,511 | $81,202 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 21.3¢ | 0¢ | +$14,051 | $57,788 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 74.5¢ | 100¢ | +$12,587 | $106,121 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 90.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5,563 | $75,891 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3,220 | $103,576 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2,658 | $54 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1,838 | $28,248 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 80.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1,811 | $7,632 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1,558 | $17,561 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March? | No | 41.7¢ | 0¢ | +$1,136 | $1,603 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | 91.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1,098 | $12,234 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%? | No | 88.5¢ | 100¢ | +$367 | $2,833 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$259 | $35,940 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? | No | 87.2¢ | 100¢ | +$239 | $4,598 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March? | Yes | 46.5¢ | 100¢ | +$199 | $1,324 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | +$157 | $933 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | +$119 | $1,023 | 31/03/2026 |
| Crude Oil all time high by March 31? | No | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $1,043 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March? | No | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $59 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $1,496 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? | No | 92.5¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $4,086 | 31/03/2026 |
| Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026? | Yes | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $91 | 31/03/2026 |