Iceqbedoo

Elections 100% +$58 $527 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	83¢	90¢	+$2	win
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	85¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	93¢	99¢	+$3	win
Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?	No	93¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?	No	94¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 44-48% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?	No	84¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9-12%?	No	85¢	100¢	+$4	win

Geopolitics 67% +$24 $227 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	43¢	46¢	+$-0	loss
Will the Ottawa Senators make the NHL Playoffs?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$8	win
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	94¢	0¢	$-11	loss
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	80¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	No	80¢	100¢	+$11	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	No	90¢	100¢	+$5	win

Crypto 94% +$14 $528 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 20?	Yes	87¢	87¢	+$0	win
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 April 6-12?	No	84¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 12?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 11?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 10?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 8?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 8?	No	84¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Solana reach $85 on April 6?	No	82¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 7?	No	85¢	100¢	+$4	win

Weather 100% +$9 $108 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?	No	88¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 8?	No	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 7?	No	93¢	100¢	+$2	win

Tech 100% +$5 $24 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?	No	84¢	100¢	+$5	win

Culture 50% +$4 $78 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	94¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $13m and $14m?	No	83¢	100¢	+$6	win

Mentions 100% +$4 $55 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?	No	93¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	No	90¢	100¢	+$3	win

Politics 100% +$3 $35 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	No	93¢	100¢	+$3	win

Sports 33% $-36 $114 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	No	83¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will UCLA win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?	No	90¢	0¢	$-40	loss

Other 55% $-43 $738 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-12	loss
Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	14¢	6¢	$-32	loss
GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	4¢	1¢	$-5	loss
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	81¢	98¢	+$4	win
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-17?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Prodzy win the Legend Trade Series?	No	94¢	100¢	$-1	loss
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?	No	85¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?	No	85¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in March?	No	85¢	100¢	+$4	win