Win rate
37.2%
16 W / 27 L
Total PnL
$256
realized $-3,226 · unrealized $3,482
Portfolio
$3,482
volume $19,992
Predictions
49
15.7/day · avg $408
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 14/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 50% +$323
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 31¢ | 22¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 8¢ | $-6 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 37¢ | 64¢ | +$124 | win |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 7¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | +$51 | win |
Politics 100% +$14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 23¢ | 38¢ | +$14 | win |
Elections 50% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 65¢ | 66¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 80¢ | 73¢ | $-3 | loss |
Crypto 0% $-28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 26¢ | 21¢ | $-28 | loss |
Sports 38% $-136
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 43¢ | 44¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreeva | Iga Swiatek | 65¢ | 66¢ | +$2 | win |
| Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres | Seattle Mariners | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff | Coco Gauff | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Kings vs. Flames | Kings | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | loss |
Other 30% $-528
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 6¢ | 5¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Yes | 37¢ | 34¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 38¢ | 37¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? | No | 62¢ | 59¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 32¢ | 54¢ | +$142 | win |
| Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Kopriva | Cobolli | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| Set 1 Winner: Fils vs Musetti | Fils | 53¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti | Lorenzo Musetti | 44¢ | 26¢ | $-276 | loss |
Recent Trades (43)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $34 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Flames | Kings | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | $58 | 17/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 6.2¢ | 0¢ | +$51 | $39 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 11.2¢ | 7¢ | $-11 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 38¢ | +$14 | $23 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 13.7¢ | 44¢ | +$200 | $130 | 22/04/2026 |
| Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti | Lorenzo Musetti | 44.1¢ | 26¢ | $-276 | $682 | 24/04/2026 |
| BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton | Joao Fonseca | 54.2¢ | 56¢ | +$12 | $405 | 24/04/2026 |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreeva | Iga Swiatek | 65.0¢ | 66¢ | +$2 | $292 | 24/04/2026 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres | Seattle Mariners | 14.7¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | $65 | 24/04/2026 |
| Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs Cerundolo | Zverev | 66.3¢ | 0¢ | $-239 | $241 | 24/04/2026 |
| Set 1 Winner: Swiatek vs Andreeva | Swiatek | 62.5¢ | 60¢ | $-4 | $131 | 24/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Shelton (+1.5) | Fonseca | 42.5¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | $85 | 24/04/2026 |
| Set 1 Winner: Fonseca vs Shelton | Fonseca | 61.9¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | $74 | 24/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5) | Zverev | 45.9¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $55 | 24/04/2026 |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff | Coco Gauff | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $30 | 24/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Andreeva (+1.5) | Swiatek | 43.8¢ | 42¢ | $-2 | $39 | 24/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5) | Musetti | 32.9¢ | 6¢ | $-18 | $36 | 24/04/2026 |
| Set 1 Winner: Fils vs Musetti | Musetti | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $324 | 24/04/2026 |
| Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Kopriva | Cobolli | 63.4¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $95 | 24/04/2026 |
| Set 1 Winner: Fils vs Musetti | Fils | 52.5¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $164 | 24/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 31.9¢ | 54¢ | +$142 | $255 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 37.2¢ | 64¢ | +$124 | $175 | 30/04/2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? | No | 62.0¢ | 59¢ | $-1 | $25 | 15/05/2026 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 37.6¢ | 37¢ | $-0 | $38 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 26.2¢ | 26¢ | $-3 | $105 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 8¢ | +$2 | $33 | 06/06/2026 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 46¢ | +$38 | $144 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 65.0¢ | 66¢ | +$2 | $195 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 79.5¢ | 73¢ | $-3 | $38 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Yes | 36.8¢ | 34¢ | $-11 | $147 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 20¢ | $-2 | $100 | 13/06/2026 |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | Yes | 11.6¢ | 12¢ | +$5 | $62 | 16/06/2026 |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 6.7¢ | 8¢ | +$9 | $81 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 14¢ | $-2 | $70 | 30/06/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 8¢ | $-6 | $25 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 14¢ | $-1 | $21 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 15.2¢ | 15¢ | $-8 | $320 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 5.8¢ | 5¢ | $-6 | $35 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 44¢ | +$3 | $86 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 5.6¢ | 5¢ | $-2 | $61 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 31.2¢ | 22¢ | $-35 | $171 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 25.5¢ | 21¢ | $-28 | $158 | 01/01/2027 |