polywallet polymarket whale scanner
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Win rate
52.1%
687 W / 632 L
Total PnL
$-84,654
realized $-175,901 · unrealized $91,247
Portfolio
$91,247
volume $11,787,377
Predictions
1,354
3.4/day · avg $8,706

PnL history

Details

Joined17/10/2024
Last activity18/04/2026
Profiled at18/04/2026
Qualifiedno

Category breakdown

Politics 62% +$34,469 $657,769 vol · 300 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? No 83¢ +$40 win
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes 12¢ 16¢ +$549 win
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? Yes 46¢ $-3,072 loss
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes 10¢ $-3 loss
Trump out as President before 2027? No 84¢ 84¢ $-95 loss
Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027? Yes 23¢ 29¢ +$10 win
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? Yes 85¢ 84¢ $-5 loss
Will The Marías be nominated for Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? No 20¢ $-202 loss
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026? No 16¢ +$258 win
Will Park Chan-wook be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? No 96¢ 100¢ +$15 win
Crypto 49% +$13,606 $277,084 vol · 78 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 29¢ 24¢ $-88 loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026? No 31¢ $-14 loss
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No 66¢ 80¢ $-28 loss
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 13¢ 14¢ +$0
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No 74¢ 90¢ +$1,549 win
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes 11¢ 10¢ +$5 win
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $-16 loss
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? No 31¢ 44¢ +$10 win
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? No 90¢ 100¢ +$210 win
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February? Yes $-24 loss
Mentions 46% +$874 $8,595 vol · 39 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times April 11–18? No 96¢ 100¢ +$2 win
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times April 11–18? Yes 12¢ $-57 loss
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times April 4 - 11? No 92¢ 100¢ $-1 loss
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 21-28? Yes 20¢ $-414 loss
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 7-14? Yes 10¢ $-62 loss
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14? No 91¢ 100¢ $-2 loss
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 28 - March 7? Yes 24¢ $-79 loss
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 28 - March 7? No 93¢ 100¢ $-48 loss
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28? No 60¢ $-405 loss
Finance 0% $-106 $1,764 vol · 3 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $-102 loss
Fed rate hike in 2025? No 95¢ 100¢ +$0
Fed rate hike in 2025? Yes $-4 loss
Geopolitics 75% $-3,514 $87,494 vol · 8 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Stars vs. Senators Senators 53¢ $-2,650 loss
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23? Yes 100¢ 100¢ +$70 win
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? No 25¢ +$17 win
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? Yes 92¢ 100¢ $-2,631 loss
Israel strike on Iran on June 22? Yes 100¢ 100¢ +$100 win
Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16? Dortmund 51¢ 100¢ +$1,496 win
Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16? Lille 40¢ +$43 win
Iran Nuke in 2024? No 98¢ 100¢ +$41 win
Culture 61% $-3,982 $119,570 vol · 178 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2026? Yes +$16 win
Will Taylor Swift attend the Oscars? No 88¢ 100¢ +$48 win
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? Yes 92¢ 100¢ +$240 win
Will Sinners win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards? Yes 93¢ 100¢ +$210 win
Will Zootopia 2 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? No 95¢ 100¢ +$208 win
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars? No 81¢ 100¢ +$69 win
Will Sinners win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards? No 94¢ 100¢ +$49 win
Will Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? No 97¢ 100¢ +$46 win
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? Yes +$15 win
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? Yes 21¢ $-1,036 loss
Other 52% $-4,012 $849,775 vol · 252 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 74¢ 82¢ +$118 win
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes 29¢ 14¢ $-88 loss
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? Yes 32¢ 22¢ $-1 loss
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes 65¢ 64¢ $-507 loss
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No 84¢ 84¢ $-46 loss
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 15¢ 18¢ +$30 win
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? Yes 12¢ 14¢ +$15 win
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? Yes 11¢ 15¢ +$20 win
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No 51¢ 36¢ $-78 loss
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No 70¢ 78¢ +$21 win
Elections 51% $-6,253 $316,339 vol · 127 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 45¢ 46¢ +$63 win
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 45¢ 46¢ +$14 win
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 14¢ 16¢ +$119 win
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 15¢ 16¢ +$2 win
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? Yes $-25 loss
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? Yes 71¢ $-2 loss
Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? No 74¢ $-38 loss
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? No 87¢ 100¢ +$120 win
Will the next UK election be called by December 31? No 95¢ 100¢ +$79 win
Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots? Yes 20¢ $-188 loss
Economy 36% $-12,924 $130,652 vol · 60 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Negative GDP growth in 2026? No 85¢ 93¢ +$340 win
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? Yes $-60 loss
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%? No 90¢ 100¢ +$27 win
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%? Yes $-25 loss
US recession in 2025? No 86¢ 100¢ +$159 win
US recession in 2025? Yes 55¢ $-1,844 loss
Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be ≤4.2%? Yes $-500 loss
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after February 2026 meeting? Yes $-94 loss
Negative GDP growth in 2025? No 89¢ 100¢ +$166 win
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%? No 48¢ 100¢ +$-0
Tech 38% $-15,610 $111,375 vol · 56 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? Yes 10¢ $-7 loss
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Yes +$15 win
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? No 51¢ +$352 win
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? No 93¢ 100¢ +$17 win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? Yes $-10 loss
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? Yes 36¢ $-109 loss
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? No 93¢ 100¢ +$657 win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? No $-50 loss
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? Yes 84¢ 100¢ +$371 win
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? Yes 42¢ 100¢ +$4 win
Sports 42% $-86,652 $342,334 vol · 228 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April? No 70¢ 92¢ +$8 win
Will F1 win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards? No 96¢ 100¢ +$1 win
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in February? Yes $-130 loss
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in February? Yes 12¢ $-60 loss
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Super Bowl? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $-636 loss
Will the New England Patriots win the Super Bowl? No 98¢ 100¢ $-562 loss
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? Yes 65¢ 100¢ $-130 loss
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? No 81¢ 100¢ $-24 loss
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? No 76¢ 100¢ $-18 loss
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the Super Bowl? No 32¢ +$30 win

Recent Trades (50)

Market Position Avg Price Cur Price PnL Volume Settled
Will the US add at least 100k jobs in March? No 74.0¢ $-21 $752 03/04/2026
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? No 89.5¢ 100¢ +$210 $1,790 01/04/2026
Maduro out by March 31, 2026? Yes 59.0¢ 100¢ +$606 $1,510 31/03/2026
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? No 50.8¢ +$352 $2,000 31/03/2026
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? No 57.0¢ 100¢ +$143 $570 31/03/2026
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more? Yes 99.0¢ 100¢ +$100 $9,900 31/03/2026
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? Yes 55.9¢ 100¢ +$40 $337 31/03/2026
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more? Yes 65.0¢ 100¢ +$27 $683 31/03/2026
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? No 92.7¢ 100¢ +$17 $255 31/03/2026
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more? No 25.0¢ +$0 $46 31/03/2026
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? No 54.0¢ $-338 $4,601 31/03/2026
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more? Yes 3.5¢ $-451 $524 31/03/2026
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more? Yes 5.0¢ $-595 $1,150 31/03/2026
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? Yes 9.3¢ $-3,533 $3,601 31/03/2026
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? Yes 4.0¢ $-10 $40 31/03/2026
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? Yes 1.2¢ $-60 $60 18/03/2026
Will Margot Robbie attend the Oscars? No 36.0¢ 100¢ +$244 $137 15/03/2026
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? Yes 92.0¢ 100¢ +$240 $2,760 15/03/2026
Will Sinners win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards? Yes 93.0¢ 100¢ +$210 $2,790 15/03/2026
Will Zootopia 2 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? No 94.8¢ 100¢ +$208 $3,792 15/03/2026
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars? No 81.0¢ 100¢ +$69 $296 15/03/2026
Will Sinners win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards? No 94.0¢ 100¢ +$49 $761 15/03/2026
Will Taylor Swift attend the Oscars? No 88.5¢ 100¢ +$48 $427 15/03/2026
Will Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? No 97.2¢ 100¢ +$46 $1,608 15/03/2026
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? Yes 6.4¢ +$15 $128 15/03/2026
Will F1 win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards? No 96.3¢ 100¢ +$1 $24 15/03/2026
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more? Yes 28.0¢ 100¢ +$8,202 $3,743 14/03/2026
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more? Yes 74.4¢ 100¢ +$4,490 $13,065 14/03/2026
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more? Yes 92.8¢ 100¢ +$625 $8,041 14/03/2026
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in February? Yes 3.2¢ $-130 $136 11/03/2026
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in February? Yes 11.9¢ $-60 $80 11/03/2026
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? No 70.0¢ 100¢ +$96 $224 06/03/2026
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%? No 90.0¢ 100¢ +$27 $246 06/03/2026
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%? Yes 5.0¢ $-25 $25 06/03/2026
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? Yes 10.1¢ $-1,309 $1,308 01/03/2026
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? Yes 4.8¢ $-242 $242 01/03/2026
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? Yes 4.2¢ $-170 $170 01/03/2026
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? Yes 6.6¢ $-256 $256 01/03/2026
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February? Yes 2.1¢ $-47 $47 01/03/2026
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February? Yes 2.2¢ $-45 $45 01/03/2026
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? Yes 21.2¢ $-492 $854 01/03/2026
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February? Yes 1.2¢ $-24 $24 01/03/2026
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? No 93.1¢ 100¢ +$657 $11,589 28/02/2026
Maduro out by February 28, 2026? Yes 51.0¢ 100¢ +$490 $510 28/02/2026
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? Yes 87.3¢ 100¢ +$488 $7,631 28/02/2026
US recession in 2025? No 86.4¢ 100¢ +$159 $1,863 28/02/2026
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February? Yes 86.4¢ 100¢ +$18 $183 28/02/2026
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? No 97.0¢ 100¢ +$9 $5,876 28/02/2026
Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with bacon grease? No 98.5¢ 100¢ +$3 $821 28/02/2026
Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with urine? No 99.0¢ 100¢ +$0 $88 28/02/2026