Win rate
27.7%
26 W / 68 L
Total PnL
$-1,723
realized $-3,248 · unrealized $1,525
Portfolio
$1,525
volume $228,079
Predictions
108
2.1/day · avg $2,112
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 22% +$206
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Based FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15? | No | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
| Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | Yes | 23¢ | 100¢ | +$291 | win |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? | No | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | win |
| Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-08? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-92 | loss |
| Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-03-07? | No | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | loss |
Crypto 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 8? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 7? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 2? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Elections 0% $-7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
Politics 0% $-16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
Geopolitics 85% $-37
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 8% $-1,818
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Celtics vs. Hornets | Hornets | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-1,909 | loss |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Pelicans vs. Suns | Suns | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| Bruins vs. Predators | Predators | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$117 | win |
| Flyers vs. Maple Leafs | Flyers | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$147 | win |
| Sharks vs. Blackhawks | Sharks | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-159 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. Hornets | Hornets | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,909 | $1,909 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 18? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $86 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15? | No | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $88 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,549 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,601 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $3,097 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 100¢ | +$291 | $87 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? | No | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $72 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-08? | Yes | 24.9¢ | 0¢ | $-92 | $92 | 08/03/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Suns | Suns | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $97 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-03-07? | No | 48.9¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | $83 | 07/03/2026 |
| Bruins vs. Predators | Predators | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$117 | $127 | 06/03/2026 |
| Flyers vs. Maple Leafs | Flyers | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$147 | $125 | 03/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99.3¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 27/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 11? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 8? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 7? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $57 | 07/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $49 | 05/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 04/02/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Blackhawks | Sharks | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-159 | $159 | 03/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 2? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 02/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $37 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $39 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $37 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $41 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,353 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,375 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,379 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,613 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,673 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $1,576 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,690 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,553 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,179 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,212 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,293 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,351 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $4,083 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $953 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,550 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,622 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,650 | 01/07/2026 |